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WCN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Waste Connections Inc (WCN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
162.440
1 Day change
0.36%
52 Week Range
201.660
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Waste Connections Inc (WCN) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The current technical indicators show bearish momentum, and the pre-market price is down 2.64%. While the company has strong ESG commitments and a solid position in its industry, recent financial performance and hedge fund selling trends raise concerns. Analysts' ratings are generally positive, but the lowered price targets and mixed sentiment on future guidance suggest caution. It is better to wait for clearer bullish signals or improved fundamentals before making a long-term investment.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show a bearish trend. The MACD is negative and expanding (-1.174), RSI is oversold at 17.098, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its S2 support level of 153.33, with resistance at 162.328. Pre-market price is down 2.64%, indicating continued weakness.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts generally rate the stock as Outperform or Buy.

  • Commitment to ESG initiatives and sustainability.

  • Revenue growth of 5% YoY in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 702.62% increase in selling over the last quarter.

  • Net income and EPS dropped significantly in Q4 2025 (-231.88% and -232.89% YoY, respectively).

  • Weak FY26 guidance and lowered price targets from multiple analysts.

  • Pre-market price drop of 2.64%.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue grew by 5% YoY to $2.37 billion, but net income dropped by -231.88% YoY to $258.5 million. EPS also declined significantly by -232.89% YoY to 1.01. Gross margin improved slightly to 29.07%, up 7.07% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views. Wolfe Research initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $199 price target, citing high-quality operations. However, UBS, RBC, Stifel, Deutsche Bank, and others have lowered price targets, citing weak FY26 guidance and higher capex impacting free cash flow.

Wall Street analysts forecast WCN stock price to rise
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast WCN stock price to rise
16 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 161.860
sliders
Low
173.11
Averages
205.54
High
221
Current: 161.860
sliders
Low
173.11
Averages
205.54
High
221
Wolfe Research
Outperform
initiated
$199
AI Analysis
2026-03-13
Reason
Wolfe Research
Price Target
$199
AI Analysis
2026-03-13
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Wolfe Research initiated coverage of Waste Connections with an Outperform rating and $199 price target. Within the waste group, the firm believes Waste Connections "sits at the high end of the quality curve," which it thinks can drive faster EBITDA growth than its large cap peers and warrants "a relative valuation premium," the analyst tells investors.
UBS
Neutral
downgrade
$195 -> $185
2026-03-02
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$195 -> $185
2026-03-02
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Waste Connections to $185 from $195 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following the Q4 earnings report.
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