VRTS Should I Buy
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Virtus Investment Partners Inc (VRTS) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The stock is facing bearish technical indicators, declining financial performance, and negative sentiment from analysts. While hedge funds are increasing their positions, the company's declining AUM and net outflows present significant challenges. It is recommended to hold off on investing until there are clearer signs of recovery or positive catalysts.
The stock is showing bearish signals with a negative MACD histogram (-2.444), RSI at 22.48 in the neutral zone, and bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 136.643) with resistance at R1: 160.533. The short-term trend suggests a potential decline of -0.95% in the next day and -1.24% in the next week.
Hedge funds are increasing their positions significantly, with a 184.86% increase in buying over the last quarter. The launch of the Emerging Markets Dividend ETF utilizing AI-driven sentiment analysis could attract investor interest.
Analysts have consistently lowered price targets, and the sentiment remains negative. Technical indicators are bearish, and the stock is expected to decline further in the short term.
The company's financial performance is weakening. In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $188.9 million, missing expectations. In Q3 2025, revenue declined by -10.03% YoY, net income dropped by -22.09% YoY, and EPS decreased by -18.56% YoY. AUM has been declining, and net outflows remain a concern.
Analysts have a negative outlook on VRTS. Barclays, TD Cowen, and Morgan Stanley have lowered price targets and maintain Underweight or Hold ratings. Piper Sandler is the only firm with an Overweight rating but has also reduced its price target. The overall sentiment is bearish, with concerns about challenging flow profiles and softer-than-expected performance.
