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VRNS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Varonis Systems Inc (VRNS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
21.450
1 Day change
1.32%
52 Week Range
63.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Varonis Systems Inc (VRNS) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has shown some positive growth in SaaS ARR and hedge funds are buying, the technical indicators are bearish, the stock is under pre-market pressure, and there is no strong signal from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals. Additionally, analyst ratings are mixed, with some downgrades and reduced price targets, reflecting uncertainty in the software sector due to AI disruptions.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. The MACD is negatively expanding, RSI is neutral at 26.488, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 21.676) with no clear upward momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are buying, with a 170.88% increase in buying activity over the last quarter. Analysts see potential for SaaS ARR growth and long-term data security demand.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Pre-market price is down 2.93%, reflecting negative sentiment. Analysts have downgraded the stock citing uncertainty in the software sector due to AI disruptions. Gross margin has dropped YoY, and the company is still operating at a net loss.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 9.37% YoY, net income improved by 113.75% YoY but remains negative at -$27.78M. EPS improved to -0.24, up 100% YoY. Gross margin dropped to 78.91%, down 5.56% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. William Blair downgraded the stock to Market Perform citing AI-related uncertainty. However, Wells Fargo initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $28 price target, citing attractive pricing for data security exposure. Multiple analysts have lowered price targets but maintain Buy or Neutral ratings, reflecting cautious optimism.

Wall Street analysts forecast VRNS stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VRNS stock price to rise
14 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 21.170
sliders
Low
37
Averages
52.18
High
80
Current: 21.170
sliders
Low
37
Averages
52.18
High
80
William Blair
William
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
Reason
William Blair
William
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
William Blair downgraded Varonis to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target. The firm downgraded a handful of names in infrastructure software citing the "increased uncertainty that AI has injected into the software sector." William believes the group has entered a "critical transition period" where every infrastructure software company "will need to rethink their product, their pricing, and their go-to-market strategy." AI has introduced a level of uncertainty in the software industry that is not likely to change any time soon, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Wells Fargo
Overweight
initiated
$28
2026-03-02
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$28
2026-03-02
initiated
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo initiated coverage of Varonis with an Overweight rating and $28 price target. While noting that shares have been "punished on a noisy SaaS transition," the firm adds that its checks indicate data security demand is burgeoning ahead of AI adoption and it sees current levels presenting "an attractive price for pure-play exposure to a top 2026 priority."
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