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UAL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
85.210
1 Day change
-3.65%
52 Week Range
119.210
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive market sentiment, and favorable analyst ratings outweigh the current pre-market dip and elevated fuel cost concerns.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. However, RSI is neutral at 47.446, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support is at 87.395, and resistance is at 96.551. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 91.973, suggesting a consolidation phase.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market. Additionally, today's options volume is significantly higher than the 30-day average, reflecting strong market interest.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
11
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • United Airlines reached a new agreement with the flight attendants' union, raising wages and improving employee satisfaction.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue, net income, and EPS all showing YoY growth.

  • Analysts maintain a Buy rating with price targets ranging from $125 to $140, citing strong demand and margin resilience despite fuel cost headwinds.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Elevated jet fuel prices are expected to weigh on Q2 earnings.

  • Bearish moving averages indicate short-term weakness.

  • Pre-market price drop of -1.64% reflects some immediate market concerns.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, United Airlines reported a 4.78% YoY increase in revenue, a 5.99% YoY increase in net income, and a 7.77% YoY increase in EPS. However, gross margin declined by -2.46% YoY to 58.66%. Overall, the company demonstrated strong growth trends despite some margin compression.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a Buy rating on UAL, with price targets ranging from $125 to $140. Despite concerns over higher fuel costs, analysts highlight United Airlines' strong demand trends, pricing power, and relative outperformance potential compared to peers.

Wall Street analysts forecast UAL stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast UAL stock price to rise
15 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 88.440
sliders
Low
115
Averages
139.07
High
156
Current: 88.440
sliders
Low
115
Averages
139.07
High
156
UBS
Buy
maintain
$134 -> $135
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$134 -> $135
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on United Airlines (UAL) to $135 from $134 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Jet fuel prices have risen toward $5/gallon on the Gulf Coast, prompting a preference for higher-quality airlines like Delta Air Lines (DAL) and United with stronger margins, while carriers with idiosyncratic demand drivers like Southwest Airlines (LUV) may also fare relatively well, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Despite March RASM gains largely driven by favorable demand-supply conditions, elevated fuel costs are expected to weigh on Q2 earnings, even as fare increases contribute more to revenue, the firm says.
Citi
John Godyn
Buy
downgrade
$155 -> $132
2026-03-20
Reason
Citi
John Godyn
Price Target
$155 -> $132
2026-03-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi analyst John Godyn lowered the firm's price target on United Airlines to $132 from $155 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm, which is updating estimates for higher fuel prices, sees downside risk to Q1, Q2 and 2026 estimates at nearly all airlines in its coverage. However, the analyst adds that "downside to estimates does not necessitate downside to stocks across the board" as it argues that the fuel shock is likely to keep driving a "fuel wedge" that drives meaningful relative outperformance at some airlines.
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