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TXO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy TXO Partners LP (TXO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.500
1 Day change
-2.71%
52 Week Range
20.080
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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TXO Partners LP is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The financial performance shows significant weakness, hedge funds are selling heavily, and there is no recent positive news or strong trading signals to support immediate investment. While analysts maintain a positive outlook with raised price targets, the company's financials and lack of strong technical indicators suggest a cautious approach.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is slightly positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 35.67, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading below key pivot levels, with support at 13.705 and resistance at 14.585. Overall, the technical indicators do not suggest a strong buy signal.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options data shows a low put-call ratio, indicating a bullish sentiment among options traders. However, the implied volatility is moderate, and there is no significant volume spike to suggest strong momentum.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Raymond James increasing it to $23 and maintaining a Strong Buy rating. The firm's development in the Williston Basin and elevated crude oil prices are seen as positives.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 3805.93% increase in selling activity last quarter. The company's financials show a significant decline in net income (-376.49% YoY) and EPS (-308.00% YoY), with gross margins also down 40.79%. There is no recent news or congress trading data to act as a catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 14.46% YoY to $103.7M, but net income dropped drastically to -$28.25M (-376.49% YoY). EPS also fell to -0.52 (-308.00% YoY), and gross margin declined to 20.45% (-40.79% YoY). The financial performance highlights significant profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have a positive outlook, with Raymond James and Stifel raising price targets to $23 and $19, respectively, and maintaining Strong Buy and Buy ratings. However, the updates are based on crude oil price movements and development plans, which may not immediately translate into improved financial performance.

Wall Street analysts forecast TXO stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TXO stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.820
sliders
Low
19
Averages
19
High
19
Current: 11.820
sliders
Low
19
Averages
19
High
19
Raymond James
Strong Buy
maintain
$18 -> $23
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$18 -> $23
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
maintain
Strong Buy
Reason
Raymond James raised the firm's price target on TXO Partners to $23 from $18 and keeps a Strong Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated its estimates following the move in crude prices post Iran conflict and Cross Timbers divestiture.
Stifel
Selman Akyol
Buy
maintain
$18 -> $19
2026-03-06
Reason
Stifel
Selman Akyol
Price Target
$18 -> $19
2026-03-06
maintain
Buy
Reason
Stifel analyst Selman Akyol raised the firm's price target on TXO Partners to $19 from $18 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm, which is updating its model to reflect Q4 results as well a follow-up call with management, believes TXO will continue executing development in the Williston in 2026. While noting crude oil prices are elevated, the firm would expect management to remain conservative and disciplined before allocating incremental development capital, the analyst added.
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