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TSLX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc (TSLX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
18.390
1 Day change
-0.22%
52 Week Range
25.160
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc (TSLX) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock's technical indicators, options sentiment, financial performance, and analyst ratings do not currently support a compelling entry point. Holding off on investing in this asset is advisable.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.0794, indicating some bullish momentum. However, RSI is neutral at 49.109, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its pivot point (17.936), with key resistance at 18.609 and support at 17.264. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a lack of strong upward momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data shows a bearish sentiment, with a higher put-call volume ratio (1.63) and moderate open interest put-call ratio (0.76). Implied volatility is in the mid-range (31.54%), with an IV percentile of 58.96, suggesting moderate uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL identified. The MACD is slightly bullish, but no other strong positive catalysts are present.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed significant declines in revenue (-26.66% YoY), net income (-41.24% YoY), and EPS (-41.82% YoY).

  • Analyst price targets have been lowered across the board, reflecting valuation headwinds and challenges in the company's venture into CLO Equity.

  • Options sentiment leans bearish, with a high put-call volume ratio.

  • Stock trend analysis suggests a 60% chance of a -6.67% decline in the next month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported a revenue drop of -26.66% YoY to $87.798 million, net income fell -41.24% YoY to $29.96 million, and EPS declined -41.82% YoY to $0.32. Gross margin remained high at 98.92%, but it decreased slightly by -0.47% YoY. Overall, the financial performance indicates significant headwinds and declining profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have lowered their price targets: Keefe Bruyette to $22 (from $23), Wells Fargo to $20 (from $22), JPMorgan to $21 (from $23), and Clear Street to $21 (from $22). Ratings range from Outperform to Neutral, with concerns about valuation headwinds and challenges in direct lending returns.

Wall Street analysts forecast TSLX stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLX stock price to rise
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 18.430
sliders
Low
23
Averages
23.4
High
24
Current: 18.430
sliders
Low
23
Averages
23.4
High
24
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
maintain
$23 -> $22
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$23 -> $22
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on Sixth Street to $22 from $23 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Sixth Street could be sensitive to headlines around software and AI-risk given elevated exposure, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Wells Fargo
Finian P. O'Shea
Overweight
downgrade
$22 -> $20
2026-02-17
Reason
Wells Fargo
Finian P. O'Shea
Price Target
$22 -> $20
2026-02-17
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Finian P. O'Shea lowered the firm's price target on Sixth Street to $20 from $22 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says Sixth Street's vanilla venture into CLO Equity may really show how hard it is to find attractive returns in direct lending. The "Varsity" playbook more likely includes Growth Equity, Wells adds.
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