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TOST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Toast Inc (TOST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
29.110
1 Day change
2.07%
52 Week Range
49.660
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Toast Inc (TOST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial growth, positive analyst sentiment, and hedge fund buying activity outweigh the insider selling and lack of immediate trading signals. While technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, the company's long-term growth potential and durable competitive advantages in the restaurant payments sector make it a compelling investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive at 0.3, indicating bullish momentum, though it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 47.526, showing no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. Key support is at 25.715, and resistance is at 29.356, with the current pre-market price of 28.24 nearing resistance levels.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 1237.22% increase in buying activity over the last quarter.

  • Analysts are generally positive, with multiple 'Outperform' and 'Buy' ratings and a price target range of $26-$45, indicating upside potential from the current price.

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with revenue growth of 22.05% YoY and EPS growth of 240%.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders have increased selling activity by 323.07% over the last month.

  • No recent congress trading data or significant news catalysts directly related to Toast.

  • Stock trend analysis suggests a 50% chance of a -4.62% decline over the next month, indicating potential short-term volatility.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Toast reported strong financial growth: Revenue increased by 22.05% YoY to $1.633 billion, Net Income surged by 215.62% YoY to $101 million, EPS grew by 240% to 0.17, and Gross Margin improved by 4.06% to 25.9%. These metrics highlight the company's robust operational performance and profitability improvements.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally bullish on Toast. Recent ratings include 'Outperform' from BMO Capital with a $35 price target and 'Buy' from Truist with a $36 price target. However, some analysts, like Loop Capital, have a 'Hold' rating with a $26 price target, citing concerns about valuation and stock-based compensation. Overall, the consensus leans positive, with a focus on Toast's durable competitive advantages and growth potential in the restaurant payments sector.

Wall Street analysts forecast TOST stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TOST stock price to rise
13 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 28.520
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47
High
60
Current: 28.520
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47
High
60
BMO Capital
Outperform
initiated
$35
AI Analysis
2026-04-21
Reason
BMO Capital
Price Target
$35
AI Analysis
2026-04-21
initiated
Outperform
Reason
BMO Capital initiated coverage of Toast with an Outperform rating and $35 price target. Amid the recent market pullback, the focus is on category leaders with strong, durable moats that can withstand competition and AI disruption, and Toast stands out due to unique, still-emerging growth drivers that support its long-term potential, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BMO Capital
NULL -> Outperform
initiated
$35
2026-04-21
Reason
BMO Capital
Price Target
$35
2026-04-21
initiated
NULL -> Outperform
Reason
BMO Capital initiated coverage of Toast with an Outperform rating and $35 price target.
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