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TMC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy TMC the metals company Inc (TMC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
5.340
1 Day change
-5.65%
52 Week Range
11.350
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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TMC the metals company Inc is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has potential in the deep-sea mining industry and has made progress with regulatory milestones, the lack of immediate profitability, insider selling trends, and regulatory hurdles suggest that it is better to wait for clearer signs of financial stability and growth before investing.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. RSI is at 70.049, which is neutral but nearing overbought territory. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. Current price is above the pivot point (4.778) but below the next resistance level (5.233).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Progress with NOAA for commercial production application.

  • Development of a nodule processing and refining hub in Texas.

  • First-mover advantage in the deep-sea mining industry.

  • Global rare earth elements market projected to grow significantly by 2030.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 367.11% increase in selling over the last month.

  • Regulatory hurdles remain a significant challenge for commercialization.

  • Financials show no revenue and a net income loss of -$40.4 million in Q4 2025.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported zero revenue growth, a net income loss of -$40.4 million (up 151.53% YoY), and an EPS of -0.1 (up 100% YoY). Gross margin remains at 0%. While the net income loss has improved, the company is still far from profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts remain bullish on the long-term potential of TMC, with Wedbush maintaining an Outperform rating and a price target of $8. Alliance Global and H.C. Wainwright have raised their price targets to $12.25 and $11.75, respectively, citing regulatory milestones and de-risking progress. However, the lowered price target from Wedbush reflects some caution.

Wall Street analysts forecast TMC stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TMC stock price to rise
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 5.660
sliders
Low
6.5
Averages
8.33
High
11
Current: 5.660
sliders
Low
6.5
Averages
8.33
High
11
Wedbush
Daniel Ives
Outperform
downgrade
$11 -> $8
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
Reason
Wedbush
Daniel Ives
Price Target
$11 -> $8
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives lowered the firm's price target on Metals Company to $8 from $11 to reflect a lower multiple, while keeping an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes the company reported its Q4 results on Friday where the company provided sizable updates across its business including its progress with NOAA to receive its commercial production application while in negotiations to develop a nodule processing and refining hub in Texas. Wedbush remains bullish as the company continues to chip away at its long-term strategy while looking to get its commercial permit during 2026.
Alliance Global
Buy
maintain
2026-01-23
Reason
Alliance Global
Price Target
2026-01-23
maintain
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global raised the firm's price target on Metals Company to $12.25 from $6.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company recently announced a "major permitting milestone" relating to its deep-sea mining ambitions, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm views regulation changes as a tailwind for Metals Company. It believes the company maintains its first-mover advantage in the deep-sea mining industry.
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