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TM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Toyota Motor Corp (TM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
202.940
1 Day change
-1.83%
52 Week Range
248.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Toyota Motor Corp is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While there are positive developments such as the company's investment in U.S. operations and a recent analyst upgrade, the financial performance in the latest quarter shows significant declines in net income, EPS, and gross margin. Additionally, technical indicators and trading signals do not suggest a strong entry point currently.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-0.533) and contracting, RSI is neutral at 38.691, and moving averages are converging. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 209.949, with resistance at 214.411 and support at 205.488. These indicators suggest no clear upward momentum.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Toyota announced a $1 billion investment in U.S. operations, which could support long-term growth. Japan's improving business conditions and weaker yen could also benefit the company.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's latest financials show a 43.29% drop in net income, a 42.73% drop in EPS, and a 7.45% drop in gross margin YoY. Additionally, the stock's technical indicators and options data do not signal strong bullish sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, Toyota's revenue increased by 7.42% YoY to $87.36 billion. However, net income dropped by 43.29% YoY to $8.16 billion, EPS fell by 42.73% to 0.63, and gross margin decreased by 7.45% to 17.77%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

DZ Bank recently upgraded Toyota to Buy from Sell with a price target of 4,600 yen, reflecting improved sentiment. However, there are no consistent upward revisions in price targets or ratings from multiple analysts.

Wall Street analysts forecast TM stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast TM stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 206.730
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 206.730
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
DZ Bank
Matthias Volkert
Sell
to
Buy
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
DZ Bank
Matthias Volkert
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
upgrade
Sell
to
Buy
Reason
DZ Bank analyst Matthias Volkert upgraded Toyota to Buy from Sell with a 4,600 yen price target.
BofA
Buy
to
Neutral
downgrade
$68 -> $70
2026-01-16
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$68 -> $70
2026-01-16
downgrade
Buy
to
Neutral
Reason
BofA downgraded Taylor Morrison to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $70, up from $68. The firm is lowering its 2026 EPS estimates by 6%, noting that its 2026 EPS estimate is now about 18% below consensus. Taylor Morrison "screens attractively on valuation," but the firm sees the most downside risk compared to consensus EPS among builders on lower deliveries, the analyst tells investors.
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