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TARS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc (TARS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
70.120
1 Day change
-0.14%
52 Week Range
85.250
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/03
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Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc (TARS) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company has strong growth potential, favorable analyst sentiment, and positive catalysts such as the approval of TP-03 in China and promising sales guidance for XDEMVY. Despite short-term insider selling and a slight pre-market dip, the long-term outlook remains strong.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bullish. The MACD is positively expanding, RSI is neutral at 65.721, and moving averages show a bullish trend (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 70.931), suggesting potential for upward movement.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The open interest put-call ratio indicates a slightly bearish sentiment, but the option volume put-call ratio suggests more call activity, which is bullish. Implied volatility is moderate, and today's volume is significantly higher than the 30-day average.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Approval of TP-03 in China for Demodex blepharitis, ahead of schedule.

  • Strong FY26 sales guidance for XDEMVY, with potential for $2B+ in peak U.S. sales.

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions in the stock.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 1503.33% in the last month.

  • Net income and EPS have declined significantly YoY despite revenue growth.

Financial Performance

In 2025/Q4, revenue increased by 128.39% YoY to $151.67M, driven by strong product performance. However, net income dropped by 63.77% YoY to -$8.37M, and EPS fell by 66.67% YoY to -0.2. Gross margin improved slightly to 92.8%, indicating efficient cost management.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are highly optimistic about TARS, with multiple firms raising price targets recently. Mizuho raised its target to $101, Oppenheimer to $105, and Guggenheim to $90, all maintaining Outperform or Buy ratings. Analysts highlight strong execution on XDEMVY's U.S. launch and the company's growth potential in the underpenetrated Demodex blepharitis market.

Wall Street analysts forecast TARS stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TARS stock price to rise
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 70.220
sliders
Low
68
Averages
89.33
High
100
Current: 70.220
sliders
Low
68
Averages
89.33
High
100
Mizuho
Graig Suvannavejh
Outperform
maintain
$100 -> $101
AI Analysis
2026-03-25
Reason
Mizuho
Graig Suvannavejh
Price Target
$100 -> $101
AI Analysis
2026-03-25
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst Graig Suvannavejh raised the firm's price target on Tarsus Pharmaceuticals to $101 from $100 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after the company announced its Chinese partner, Grand Pharma, received approval to commercialize TP-03 for the treatment of Demodex blepharitis in the Greater China region. The approval came a bit earlier than expected, says the firm, which remains confident in Tarsus' execution on the U.S. Xdemvy launch and sees a favorable risk/reward with shares down 22% year-to-date.
Oppenheimer
Andreas Argyrides
Outperform
maintain
$95 -> $105
2026-02-25
Reason
Oppenheimer
Andreas Argyrides
Price Target
$95 -> $105
2026-02-25
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Andreas Argyrides raised the firm's price target on Tarsus Pharmaceuticals to $105 from $95 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following quarterly results. Importantly, management provided first-time FY26 net product sales guidance of $670M-$700M for XDEMVY, representing a year-over-year increase of $230M driven by new-patient demand, broad payer coverage, and direct-to-consumer effectiveness, putting XDEMVY on track to achieve $2B-plus in U.S. peak sales.
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