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RXRX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
3.450
1 Day change
0.29%
52 Week Range
7.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus at this time. The stock is currently in a bearish trend with limited positive catalysts, and the financial performance shows significant losses despite revenue growth. Analysts have mixed views, and there is no strong proprietary trading signal to suggest immediate action. Holding off on this investment until more favorable conditions emerge would be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bearish trend with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5. The RSI is neutral at 36.366, and the MACD is slightly positive but contracting. Key support is at 3.382, and resistance is at 3.955. The stock is trading below its pivot point of 3.669, indicating downward pressure.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
0

Positive Catalysts

  • The company's REC-4881 has shown strong efficacy in familial adenomatous polyposis, with a broader addressable market and potential peak sales over $1B. JPMorgan has upgraded the stock to Overweight, citing promising developments in REC-617 for ovarian cancer. Revenue has increased significantly YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The stock has a bearish trend and is down -3.24% in the regular market. Analysts have lowered price targets due to delays in the REC-617 launch. Financial performance shows a significant net income loss (-39.56% YoY) and declining EPS (-60.38% YoY). Gross margin has dropped significantly (-132.98% YoY). No recent congress trading data or strong hedge fund/insider activity.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 681.74% YoY to $35.54M. However, net income dropped to -$108.12M (-39.56% YoY), EPS declined to -0.21 (-60.38% YoY), and gross margin fell to 59.83 (-132.98% YoY). The company is still operating at a loss despite revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Mixed. JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Overweight with a price target of $11, citing strong efficacy and market potential for REC-4881. However, BofA lowered its price target to $6 from $7 and maintained a Neutral rating due to delays in the REC-617 launch and revised estimates.

Wall Street analysts forecast RXRX stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RXRX stock price to rise
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.440
sliders
Low
5
Averages
7.75
High
11
Current: 3.440
sliders
Low
5
Averages
7.75
High
11
BofA
Neutral
downgrade
$7 -> $6
AI Analysis
2026-02-26
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$7 -> $6
AI Analysis
2026-02-26
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Recursion Pharmaceuticals to $6 from $7 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm revised its estimates, updated operating expense and share count and pushed back the REC-617 launch timing, driving its lowered price target.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$10 -> $11
2025-12-17
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$10 -> $11
2025-12-17
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan upgraded Recursion Pharmaceuticals to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $11, up from $10. The firm says the company's REC-4881 has shown "strong and durable" efficacy in familial adenomatous polyposis. REC-4881's addressable market is now broader than previously expected, creating blockbuster potential, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan sees peak sales of over $1B and a 60% probability of success. In addition, Recursion's REC-617, a CDK7 inhibitor, has shown early anti-tumor activity in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, says JPMorgan.
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