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RXRX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
3.070
1 Day change
8.10%
52 Week Range
7.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term perspective. The technical indicators are bearish, options sentiment is neutral, and the company's financial performance shows significant losses despite revenue growth. Analyst ratings have been revised downward, and there are no strong positive catalysts or trading signals to suggest immediate action. Holding or monitoring the stock for better entry points is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for RXRX are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding below zero, RSI is neutral at 24.537, and moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below key pivot levels, with support at 3.128 and resistance at 3.464.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is neutral with a low put-call ratio, indicating limited bearish sentiment. Implied volatility is relatively high at 72.47, but the IV percentile is low at 7.23, suggesting limited near-term price movement.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • The company's revenue increased significantly by 681.74% YoY in Q4 2025, showing potential for growth. Additionally, the appointment of a new Chief Medical Officer could bring fresh leadership and strategic direction.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Broader AI sector revaluation and bearish sentiment may also weigh on the stock.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported revenue growth of 681.74% YoY, reaching $35.54 million. However, net income dropped to -$108.12 million (-39.56% YoY), and EPS fell to -$0.21 (-60.38% YoY). Gross margin decreased significantly to 59.83 (-132.98% YoY), indicating worsening profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

BofA recently lowered the price target for RXRX from $7 to $6 and maintained a Neutral rating. The revision reflects updated estimates, operating expenses, and delayed launch timing for REC-617.

Wall Street analysts forecast RXRX stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RXRX stock price to rise
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 2.840
sliders
Low
5
Averages
7.75
High
11
Current: 2.840
sliders
Low
5
Averages
7.75
High
11
BofA
Neutral
downgrade
$7 -> $6
AI Analysis
2026-02-26
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$7 -> $6
AI Analysis
2026-02-26
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Recursion Pharmaceuticals to $6 from $7 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm revised its estimates, updated operating expense and share count and pushed back the REC-617 launch timing, driving its lowered price target.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$10 -> $11
2025-12-17
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$10 -> $11
2025-12-17
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan upgraded Recursion Pharmaceuticals to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $11, up from $10. The firm says the company's REC-4881 has shown "strong and durable" efficacy in familial adenomatous polyposis. REC-4881's addressable market is now broader than previously expected, creating blockbuster potential, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan sees peak sales of over $1B and a 60% probability of success. In addition, Recursion's REC-617, a CDK7 inhibitor, has shown early anti-tumor activity in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer, says JPMorgan.
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