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RXRX Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc(RXRX) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05Pre-Market-0.38-0.36+5.2619.36M5.18M-73.27-0.80-9.80
FY2025Q22025-08-05Pre-Market-0.35-0.41-17.1415.38M19.22M+24.96-4.66-7.59
FY2025Q12025-05-05Pre-Market-0.44-0.50-13.6418.08M14.75M-18.46-16.58-22.98
FY2024Q42025-02-28Pre-Market-0.36-0.53-47.2219.04M4.55M-76.13-2.09-18.64
FY2024Q22024-08-08After Hours-0.35-0.40+14.2913.29M14.42M+8.52-5.27+0.75
FY2024Q12024-05-09--0.43-0.39+9.3013.07M13.79M+5.57+0.58+16.53
FY2023Q42024-02-27--0.46-0.40+13.0420.35M10.89M-46.49+5.15-16.67
FY2023Q32023-11-09--0.38-0.43-13.1612.87M10.53M-18.16-7.10+27.53
-2023-02-27--0.15-0.31-106.67---+1.45+11.43
-2022-11-08--0.36-0.35+2.78---+2.13+35.11
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RXRX Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of -0.36, compared to analyst estimates of -0.38 by 5.26% . Revenue for the quarter reached 5.18M compared to expectations of 19.36M by -73.27% .
The stock price reacted with a -0.80% one-day change and a -9.80% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

RXRX Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc(RXRX) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 25.68M and an EPS of -0.35.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -9.73%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 1.38%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 23.84% . These revisions correlate with a 6.72% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between RXRX's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-9.73%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.38%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+23.84%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+6.72%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:64.12M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-1.58
—
Stock Price4.92
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RXRX Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.36 (Actual) vs.-0.38 (Estimate) (5.26%)
Revenue: 5.18M (Actual) vs. 19.36M (Estimate) (-73.27%)
Price Reaction: -0.80%(1-Day), -9.80%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.41 (Actual) vs.-0.35 (Estimate) (-17.14%)
Revenue: 19.22M (Actual) vs. 15.38M (Estimate) (24.96%)
Price Reaction: -4.66%(1-Day), -7.59%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.50 (Actual) vs.-0.44 (Estimate) (-13.64%)
Revenue: 14.75M (Actual) vs. 18.08M (Estimate) (-18.46%)
Price Reaction: -16.58%(1-Day), -22.98%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how RXRX performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, RXRX sees a +6.75% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.70% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.77%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -6.85% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -18.75% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call highlights strong financial management, with a robust cash position and significant partnership inflows, particularly from Roche and Genentech. The company has reduced expenses by 35% and has a clear runway through 2027 without additional financing. The Q&A session revealed positive analyst sentiment, with management providing detailed and clear responses. The focus on AI-driven platform development and the strategic partnerships with major players like Sanofi and Roche further bolster confidence. Given these factors, the stock is likely to see a positive movement over the next two weeks.
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-05
Recursion's earnings call presented a mixed but generally positive outlook. The company showcased strong financial health, with significant cash reserves and reduced cash burn projections. Strategic partnerships with major players like Sanofi and Roche are advancing, and the company is leveraging AI for drug development. Despite some uncertainties in clinical trials and platform integration, the optimistic guidance and potential milestone achievements suggest a positive sentiment. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, supporting a positive stock price movement prediction in the 2% to 8% range.
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-06
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals: strong operational updates and strategic initiatives are offset by missing EPS expectations and an unclear shareholder return plan. The Q&A reveals management's reluctance to provide detailed financial guidance, raising concerns. Despite partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies and robust pipeline prospects, the lack of a share buyback program and competitive pressures in the TechBio landscape temper enthusiasm. Given the market cap of around $1.8 billion, the overall sentiment is neutral, suggesting minimal stock price movement in the short term.
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-05
The earnings call summary indicates strong partnerships with Roche and Sanofi, significant milestone payments, and a promising pipeline with a focus on oncology and rare diseases. The company's cash position and operational efficiency are improving, extending their runway into 2027. Although management avoided specific guidance on certain financial metrics, the overall outlook is positive with continued growth and strategic advancements. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these positive developments, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong partnerships with milestone achievements and a solid cash runway are positives. However, risks from program discontinuations and unclear management responses about burn rates and capital plans raise concerns. The stock's small-cap nature might cause slight volatility, but the overall sentiment remains neutral due to balanced positive and negative factors.
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-03-03
The earnings call highlighted an EPS miss, competitive pressures, and regulatory challenges, which are negative indicators. The lack of revenue expectations and no share buyback program further dampen sentiment. While there are positive developments in clinical programs and partnerships, the absence of clear guidance on milestone payments and the company's financial instability weigh heavily on the outlook. Considering the market cap and these factors, a negative stock price reaction is anticipated.
Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-28
The earnings call summary provides a mixed picture. Financially, the company has a strong cash position and milestone payments but faces revenue recognition issues. The merger with Exscientia brings potential synergies but also integration risks. No shareholder return plans were announced. The Q&A revealed concerns about competition and regulatory hurdles but also confidence in partnerships and technological capabilities. Overall, the company's stable financial health and optimistic outlook are balanced by significant risks and uncertainties, leading to a neutral stock price prediction over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of RXRX’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

RXRX reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 5.18M against an estimate of 19.36M, resulting in a -73.27% surprise. The EPS was -0.36, surpassing the expected -0.38 by 5.26% . The stock experienced a -0.8% price change on the earnings day and a -9.8% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did RXRX’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following RXRX’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by -0.80% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -9.80% change. Historically, RXRX’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +6.75% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -3.70% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for RXRX for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate RXRX’s annual revenue to reach 25.68M, while the EPS is projected at -0.35. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -9.73% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 23.84% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does RXRX’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between RXRX’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -9.73%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 23.84% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from RXRX’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, RXRX’s stock price typically moves by +6.75% in the 10 days before its earnings and -3.70% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.35 and revenue of 25.68M.
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What is the sentiment in Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc (RXRX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong financial management, with a robust cash position and significant partnership inflows, particularly from Roche and Genentech. The company has reduced expenses by 35% and has a clear runway through 2027 without additional financing. The Q&A session revealed positive analyst sentiment, with management providing detailed and clear responses. The focus on AI-driven platform development and the strategic partnerships with major players like Sanofi and Roche further bolster confidence. Given these factors, the stock is likely to see a positive movement over the next two weeks.
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