RHP Should I Buy
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Ryman Hospitality Properties Inc (RHP) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the technical indicators show a bullish trend, the financial performance has been weak, with significant declines in net income, EPS, and gross margin. Additionally, the options data reflects bearish sentiment, and there are no recent positive catalysts to support a strong upward move. Given the investor's profile and the lack of immediate strong buy signals, holding off on this investment is advisable.
The technical indicators show a bullish trend with the MACD histogram above 0, positively contracting, and moving averages in a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). RSI is neutral at 63.123, and the stock is trading near the pivot level of 98.814, with resistance levels at 103.354 and 106.158.
The company has shown an 8% rise in bookings this year, and analysts like Evercore ISI and Barclays maintain an Outperform or Overweight rating with price targets of $115 and $110, respectively.
The company reported a 15.5% decline in adjusted funds from operations per unit in Q3 due to renovations and increased cancellations. Financial performance has been weak, with net income dropping by 40.88% YoY and EPS declining by 43.48% YoY. Additionally, the options data reflects bearish sentiment, and stock trend analysis predicts a potential decline in the short to medium term.
In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 7.73% YoY to $592.46M, but net income dropped by 40.88% YoY to $34.89M. EPS fell by 43.48% YoY to 0.52, and gross margin decreased by 19.31% YoY to 17.09%. These figures indicate a challenging financial environment for the company.
Analysts have mixed views. Evercore ISI raised the price target to $115, maintaining an Outperform rating, while JPMorgan lowered its target to $111 but kept an Overweight rating. Morgan Stanley lowered its target to $88 with an Equal Weight rating, citing muted fundamentals. Barclays initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $110 target, highlighting the company's solid balance sheet.
