RDN Should I Buy
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Radian Group Inc (RDN) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at the moment. While the company has shown stable financial performance and analysts have recently upgraded the stock, the current technical indicators, hedge fund selling trends, and lack of strong trading signals suggest that waiting for a better entry point may be prudent.
The MACD is slightly positive at 0.0289, indicating weak bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 35.358, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 33.471), but the overall price trend is weak with a -2.54% regular market change.
Analysts have upgraded the stock recently, with price targets raised to $40-$45, citing valuation and strong financial performance.
Better.com's partnership with OpenAI could indirectly benefit Radian Group by improving mortgage underwriting efficiency.
Hedge funds are aggressively selling, with a 5387.50% increase in selling over the last quarter.
The stock has a 40% chance of no change in the next day and a projected -5.96% decline in the next week.
Lack of significant insider trading trends and no recent congress trading data.
In Q4 2025, Radian Group reported a 1.40% YoY increase in revenue to $302.2M, a 4.42% YoY increase in net income to $154.8M, and a 14.43% YoY increase in EPS to 1.11. The financials indicate stable growth, but gross margin remains flat.
Analysts are moderately positive, with recent upgrades and price target increases. Barclays raised the price target to $40, Keefe Bruyette upgraded the stock to Outperform with a $42 target, and Roth Capital maintains a Buy rating with a $45 target, citing valuation and growth potential.
