OWL Should I Buy
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Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong revenue and net income growth in the latest quarter, the technical indicators are bearish, and the stock lacks immediate positive momentum. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with several firms lowering price targets recently. Additionally, the options data shows a higher open interest put-call ratio, indicating bearish sentiment. Given the user's impatience and unwillingness to wait for optimal entry points, this stock is better held or avoided for now.
The technical indicators for OWL are bearish. The MACD histogram is negative and contracting, the RSI is neutral at 36.988, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 12.55, with key support at 11.297 and resistance at 13.803.
Hedge funds are significantly increasing their holdings, with a 185.97% increase in buying over the last quarter.
The company has partnered with Five Point to enhance its land banking business, which could provide long-term growth opportunities.
Analysts have recently lowered price targets, with some citing near-term concerns about the private credit sector and Blue Owl's exposure to direct lending.
The stock is down 53% in the last 12 months, reflecting broader sector challenges.
Technical indicators are bearish, and the stock lacks immediate upward momentum.
In Q4 2025, Blue Owl Capital reported a 24.15% YoY revenue increase to $748.88M and a 129.80% YoY net income increase to $47.67M. However, EPS dropped by 25% YoY to $0.03, indicating some challenges in profitability. The gross margin remained unchanged.
Analysts' ratings are mixed. While some firms maintain Outperform or Buy ratings with price targets as high as $26, others have lowered targets to as low as $14, citing sector challenges and decelerating revenue growth.
