OWL Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how OWL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, OWL sees a +2.03% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.91% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.68%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
OWL Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
598.33M
40.33%
7.71%
Gross Margin
--
--
--
Operating Margin
30.15%
30.92%
-11.76%
Net Margin
16.60%
11.41%
-33.20%
EPS
0.04
33.33%
-33.33%
No Data Available
OWL Earnings Analysis
Blue Owl Capital Inc. Corporation (OWL.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Fee-Related Earnings Surge: 1. Strong Fee-Related Earnings Growth: Blue Owl reported a 27% increase in fee-related earnings (FRE) year-over-year, reaching $0.22 per share, demonstrating robust financial performance amidst challenging market conditions.
Record Fundraising Achievement: 2. Record Fundraising Quarter: The company achieved its second-highest fundraising quarter ever, raising $7.9 billion in equity capital, with a record $4.2 billion coming from private wealth fundraising, reflecting strong demand for its products.
Impressive Revenue Expansion: 3. Significant Year-Over-Year Growth: Over the last 12 months, management fees grew by 26%, and distributable earnings (DE) increased by 22%, showcasing the company's ability to expand its revenue base effectively.
Strong Deployment Performance: 4. Impressive Deployment Metrics: Blue Owl reported nearly $11 billion in gross originations and a last 12-month net deployment pace of nearly $18 billion, up 140% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for its credit solutions.
Strategic Acquisition Impact: 5. Strategic Acquisitions Enhancing Growth: The recent acquisition of IPI, a leader in digital infrastructure, positions Blue Owl to capitalize on the growing demand for data centers, further diversifying its business and enhancing future growth potential.
Negative
Fee-Related Earnings Decline: 1. Declining Fee-Related Earnings: Blue Owl reported fee-related earnings (FRE) of $0.22 per share, which is lower than the expected growth rate, indicating potential challenges in maintaining previous growth momentum.
Conservative Dividend Outlook: 2. Lower Dividend Guidance: The company anticipates a dividend of around $0.90 for 2025, which reflects a more conservative approach due to the volatile interest rate environment, potentially limiting shareholder returns.
Capital Needs Pressure: 3. Increased Capital Needs: The company highlighted a significant increase in capital needs, with $21.7 billion in AUM not yet paying fees, which could pressure future earnings until these assets are deployed.
Market Condition Dependency: 4. High Dependency on Market Conditions: The management noted that the future growth of revenues and earnings is highly contingent on the stabilization of interest rates and a rebound in private equity activity, which remains uncertain.
Acquisition Integration Concerns: 5. Integration Challenges with Acquisitions: While the company has made several acquisitions, the initial consideration of $2.5 billion for these transactions is expected to have a modest impact on revenues and earnings in the short term, raising concerns about the effectiveness of integration strategies.
OWL FAQs
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OWL Earning Call Sentiment
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
OWL.N
3.62%Positive
The earnings call summary reflects strong financial performance with significant growth in fee-related earnings, distributable earnings, and management fees. The company has achieved substantial fundraising and gross originations, and the AUM post-acquisition of IPI is impressive. While there are concerns about economic factors and integration risks, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong earnings, optimistic guidance, and a solid dividend strategy. The Q&A section also reveals potential for growth through cross-selling and new product launches. Despite some uncertainties, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, leading to a positive sentiment rating.
