OWL Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how OWL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, OWL sees a +2.03% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.91% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.68%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
OWL Key Earning Data
OWL Earnings Analysis
Positive
Fee-Related Earnings Surge: 1. Strong Fee-Related Earnings Growth: Blue Owl reported a 27% increase in fee-related earnings (FRE) year-over-year, reaching $0.22 per share, demonstrating robust financial performance amidst challenging market conditions.
Record Fundraising Achievement: 2. Record Fundraising Quarter: The company achieved its second-highest fundraising quarter ever, raising $7.9 billion in equity capital, with a record $4.2 billion coming from private wealth fundraising, reflecting strong demand for its products.
Impressive Revenue Expansion: 3. Significant Year-Over-Year Growth: Over the last 12 months, management fees grew by 26%, and distributable earnings (DE) increased by 22%, showcasing the company's ability to expand its revenue base effectively.
Strong Deployment Performance: 4. Impressive Deployment Metrics: Blue Owl reported nearly $11 billion in gross originations and a last 12-month net deployment pace of nearly $18 billion, up 140% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for its credit solutions.
Strategic Acquisition Impact: 5. Strategic Acquisitions Enhancing Growth: The recent acquisition of IPI, a leader in digital infrastructure, positions Blue Owl to capitalize on the growing demand for data centers, further diversifying its business and enhancing future growth potential.
Negative
Fee-Related Earnings Decline: 1. Declining Fee-Related Earnings: Blue Owl reported fee-related earnings (FRE) of $0.22 per share, which is lower than the expected growth rate, indicating potential challenges in maintaining previous growth momentum.
Conservative Dividend Outlook: 2. Lower Dividend Guidance: The company anticipates a dividend of around $0.90 for 2025, which reflects a more conservative approach due to the volatile interest rate environment, potentially limiting shareholder returns.
Capital Needs Pressure: 3. Increased Capital Needs: The company highlighted a significant increase in capital needs, with $21.7 billion in AUM not yet paying fees, which could pressure future earnings until these assets are deployed.
Market Condition Dependency: 4. High Dependency on Market Conditions: The management noted that the future growth of revenues and earnings is highly contingent on the stabilization of interest rates and a rebound in private equity activity, which remains uncertain.
Acquisition Integration Concerns: 5. Integration Challenges with Acquisitions: While the company has made several acquisitions, the initial consideration of $2.5 billion for these transactions is expected to have a modest impact on revenues and earnings in the short term, raising concerns about the effectiveness of integration strategies.
OWL FAQs
How does OWL typically perform around its earnings report dates?
OWL's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +2.03% change leading up to the report and a +1.91% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
OWL Earning Call Sentiment
Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

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