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ORN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.810
1 Day change
2.65%
52 Week Range
15.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While the company has some positive long-term growth prospects and analyst support, the lack of recent positive trading signals, insider selling, and weak financial performance in the latest quarter suggest caution. Holding the stock for now and reassessing after more favorable signals or financial improvements would be a prudent approach.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows a bullish moving average trend (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), with MACD above 0 and positively contracting, indicating mild bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 49.874, and the pre-market price of $11.51 is slightly above the pivot level of $11.488, suggesting limited immediate upside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets and maintain Buy ratings, citing strong long-term growth potential in Marine and Concrete segments.

  • The company has a robust $23B opportunity pipeline and recently secured a significant $86.3M project.

  • FY26 guidance indicates management confidence in multi-year growth and improving returns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 371.72% over the last month, which could indicate a lack of confidence from insiders.

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 was weak, with net income and EPS declining significantly YoY.

  • Stock trend analysis suggests a potential decline of -3.53% in the next week and -11.07% in the next month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.54% YoY to $233.2M. However, net income dropped by -103.55% YoY to -$240K, and EPS declined by -105.88% YoY to -$0.01. Gross margin also fell by -16.91% YoY to 11.6%, indicating deteriorating profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are optimistic about ORN's long-term prospects. B. Riley raised the price target to $17, citing growth in Marine capabilities and multi-year revenue guidance. Roth Capital and JPMorgan also initiated Buy/Overweight ratings, highlighting the company's exposure to infrastructure spending and improving margins.

Wall Street analysts forecast ORN stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ORN stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.510
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Current: 11.510
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
B. Riley
Liam Burke
Buy
maintain
$17
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
B. Riley
Liam Burke
Price Target
$17
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
B. Riley analyst Liam Burke raised the firm's price target on Orion Group to $17 from $15.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Orion Group reported Q4 contract revenue of $233.2M and adjusted EBITDA of $13.0M, with adjusted EPS of 8c, beating consensus revenue and EPS estimates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Backlog declined sequentially and year over year, but the opportunity pipeline grew to $23B, and an early Q1 $86.3M U.S. Army Corps project highlights momentum in Marine capabilities, while FY26 guidance of $900M-$950M revenue and $54M-$58M adjusted EBITDA signals management confidence in multi-year growth and improving returns on invested capital, B. Riley says.
Roth Capital
Buy
initiated
$17
2026-02-10
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$17
2026-02-10
initiated
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital initiated coverage of Orion Group with a Buy rating and $17 price target. The firm believes the company's Marine segment will benefit from long-term, multi-billion-dollar spending initiatives associated with U.S. Navy defense programs and port infrastructure refurbishment. Meanwhile, Orion's Concrete unit is positioned in states with the highest infrastructure-reserved budgets, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Roth says the company's improving margin profile should narrow the stock's valuation gap between peers.
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