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ORCL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Oracle Corp (ORCL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
192.080
1 Day change
1.22%
52 Week Range
345.720
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/22
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Oracle is not a clear buy right now for a Beginner investor focused on the long term. The stock has strong AI-related narrative support and Wall Street sentiment is generally bullish, but the technicals are mixed, the options market is not giving a strong directional buy signal, and the current setup looks closer to a wait-and-see or hold than an immediate purchase. Given the investor is impatient and does not want to wait for an optimal entry, this is still not a strong enough entry to justify buying today.

Technical Analysis

ORCL is trading around 190.45 pre-market, slightly above the pivot near 189.87. RSI_6 at 55.09 is neutral, so momentum is not overextended but also not strongly bullish. MACD histogram is -1.032 and still below zero, which points to weak near-term momentum despite the negative pressure contracting. Moving averages are converging, suggesting a possible trend transition, but not a confirmed breakout. Immediate resistance sits near 198.24 and 203.41, while support is around 181.50 and 176.33. Overall, the price action is range-bound to mildly constructive, not a decisive buy signal.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly bullish. The put-call open interest ratio of 0.9 is close to balanced, while the option volume put-call ratio of 0.28 shows heavier call activity in recent trading, which suggests traders are leaning bullish near term. However, elevated IV percentile (88.89) and IV rank (82.94) show options are expensive, which usually reflects strong expectations but also less attractive entry conditions for a beginner long-term buyer. Net: sentiment is positive, but not strong enough alone to justify an immediate buy.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Wall Street has turned increasingly constructive on Oracle's AI infrastructure story. Wedbush raised its target to 275 and keeps Outperform, Oppenheimer lifted its target to 235 and reiterated Oracle as a top pick, and Arete upgraded it to Buy with a 255 target. The narrative is supported by Oracle's positioning in AI infrastructure, strong demand visibility, and large backlog expectations tied to OpenAI, Meta, Nvidia, federal commitments, and Microsoft outsourcing. News about Nvidia's strong earnings and accelerating data center demand is also supportive for Oracle's AI cloud theme. Congress trading over the last 90 days is balanced, with 2 buys and 2 sells, showing no clear negative political signal.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The chart setup is not strongly bullish yet, with MACD still negative. Analyst opinions are positive overall, but there are lingering concerns in the market about the capital-intensive AI buildout, financing needs, GPU-as-a-Service costs, and margin pressure. Insiders and hedge funds are neutral, so there is no strong conviction from those groups. Recent congress trading is mixed rather than clearly supportive. The news flow is indirectly positive for AI infrastructure, but nothing here creates an immediate catalyst specific to Oracle today.

Financial Performance

No usable latest-quarter financial snapshot was provided due to an error, so a quarter-by-quarter financial assessment cannot be completed from the dataset. Based on analyst commentary, the latest quarter appears to have improved confidence in execution and demand, with expectation of upside in the upcoming Q4 2026 results and support from technology infrastructure spending by major customers and partners. However, the data provided does not include revenue, EPS, margin, or growth figures for a direct financial read.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment has improved meaningfully over the last month. Wedbush, Oppenheimer, Arete, Barclays, and BofA are constructive, with multiple Buy/Outperform calls and rising targets up to 275. Morgan Stanley remains more cautious at Equal Weight, and Cleveland Research downgraded to Neutral, reflecting ongoing concern about AI buildout costs and execution risk. Overall, the Street view is more positive than negative, with the bulls arguing Oracle is underappreciated as an AI infrastructure winner and the bears focused on capex, financing, and margin uncertainty.

Wall Street analysts forecast ORCL stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ORCL stock price to rise
25 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 189.770
sliders
Low
180
Averages
309.59
High
400
Current: 189.770
sliders
Low
180
Averages
309.59
High
400
Wedbush
Outperform
upgrade
$225 -> $275
AI Analysis
2026-05-13
Reason
Wedbush
Price Target
$225 -> $275
AI Analysis
2026-05-13
upgrade
Outperform
Reason
Wedbush raised the firm's price target on Oracle to $275 from $225 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares as the firm gains incremental confidence based on its checks in the company's strategic positioning within the AI infrastructure landscape. Wedbush's view that the Oracle story is being misunderstood by the market remains intact, with investors placing too much emphasis on the near-term optics of its heavy, contract-backed capex cycle and too little emphasis on the underlying demand visibility supporting that investment. The firm is becoming incrementally comfortable with the OpenAI relationship and more constructive on the broader data center story as the fears surrounding Oracle remain overdone, and the company is increasingly positioned to be an AI winner on the global stage.
Oppenheimer
Brian Schwartz
Outperform
maintain
$210 -> $235
2026-05-12
Reason
Oppenheimer
Brian Schwartz
Price Target
$210 -> $235
2026-05-12
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Brian Schwartz raised the firm's price target on Oracle (ORCL) to $235 from $210 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm is also reiterating the name as its top pick, saying it sees positive developments during the current quarter that lend support to its superior EPS compounder thesis. Specifically, the strong technology infrastructure spending revealed in the Q1 reports from Oracle's largest customers, partners, and suppliers combined with a significant restructuring announcement on March 31 bode well for potential upside in the Q4 2026 results next month and bolster the medium-term financials guidance, in Oppenheimer's view. Furthermore, the firm expects solid bookings growth in Q4 from OpenAI, Meta (META), Nvidia (NVDA) and federal government commitments, Microsoft (MSFT) outsourcing its lower margin training business to Oracle, and demand uplift from the positive seasonality for the broader Oracle product portfolio.
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