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NOC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
521.500
1 Day change
-5.21%
52 Week Range
774.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While the stock has potential due to its position in the aerospace and defense sector, the lack of clear positive catalysts, bearish technical indicators, and recent price target downgrades suggest waiting for a better entry point or more favorable conditions.

Technical Analysis

The stock's technical indicators are bearish. The MACD is above 0 but positively contracting, RSI is neutral at 26.944, and moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its key support level (S1: 522.978), with resistance levels far above (R1: 556.839). Overall, the technical setup does not suggest a strong buy opportunity.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data shows a balanced sentiment with a slight tilt towards calls, but no strong bullish signals. Implied volatility is moderate (IV percentile: 53.17, IV rank: 9.57), and today's option volume is significantly higher than the 30-day average, indicating increased activity.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
15
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions in the stock, with an 831.15% increase in buying over the last quarter. The aerospace and defense sector has long-term growth potential, and the company is seeing strong demand signals and ramping programs.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent price target downgrades by multiple analysts due to concerns about below-average organic growth, B-21 diluting margins, and increasing capex. Additionally, the Senate Armed Services Committee's approval of a provision restricting stock buybacks or dividends for defense contractors could weigh on investor sentiment. Recent news highlights stagnant revenues and declining profitability for Northrop Grumman.

Financial Performance

No financial data is available for analysis. However, the company is set to release its Q2 2026 financial results on July 21, 2026.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. While some analysts maintain a Buy rating, there have been multiple price target reductions, reflecting concerns about growth challenges and increased capital expenditures. The current price targets range from $620 to $745, indicating limited upside from the current price of $522.34.

Wall Street analysts forecast NOC stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NOC stock price to rise
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 550.150
sliders
Low
630
Averages
684.08
High
770
Current: 550.150
sliders
Low
630
Averages
684.08
High
770
Jefferies
Kathy Warden and John Greene
Hold
downgrade
$660 -> $620
AI Analysis
2026-05-26
Reason
Jefferies
Kathy Warden and John Greene
Price Target
$660 -> $620
AI Analysis
2026-05-26
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Jefferies lowered the firm's price target on Northrop Grumman to $620 from $660 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after having met with CEO Kathy Warden and CFO John Greene. The firm applies a discount given Northrop's below average organic growth, B-21 diluting margins, and capex increasing at a 14% compound annual growth rate to about 4.5% of sales, the analyst tells investors.
Citi
John Godyn
Buy
downgrade
$742 -> $628
2026-05-18
Reason
Citi
John Godyn
Price Target
$742 -> $628
2026-05-18
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi analyst John Godyn lowered the firm's price target on Northrop Grumman to $628 from $742 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated models in the aerospace and defense sector, saying it does not expect an "immediate V-shaped rally" without a resolution to the Middle East conflict. However, Citi sees buying opportunities following the recent selloffs, expecting the aerospace group to rally first, followed by defense.
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