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NMR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
7.930
1 Day change
-0.30%
52 Week Range
9.580
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) does not present a strong buy opportunity at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the technical indicators show some bullish signals, the financial performance and recent news do not strongly support a compelling entry point. The lack of significant positive catalysts and the neutral sentiment from hedge funds and insiders further suggest holding off on investment for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.00863, indicating a bullish trend, but it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 39.722, showing no clear signal. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 8.227, and resistance is at 8.682. The stock has a 70% chance to decline by -1.62% in the next day but shows a potential 10.02% gain over the next month.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst upgrade from JPMorgan to Overweight with a higher price target of 1,440 yen, citing the strength of the company's core business.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Q1 financial results show a decline in net income (-10.73% YoY) and EPS (-9.09% YoY). The company did not provide earnings forecasts due to market uncertainties, which may indicate caution. Insider and hedge fund trading sentiment is neutral.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, revenue increased by 1.39% YoY, but net income dropped by 10.73% YoY, and EPS fell by 9.09% YoY. Gross margin improved by 7.23% YoY to 44.93%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Overweight from Neutral with a price target increase from 1,430 yen to 1,440 yen, citing undervaluation and strong core business performance.

Wall Street analysts forecast NMR stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast NMR stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 7.950
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 7.950
sliders
Low
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Averages
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High
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JPMorgan
Koki Sato
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
Reason
JPMorgan
Koki Sato
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Koki Sato upgraded Nomura to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of 1,440 yen, up from 1,430 yen. The strength of the company's core business is not priced into the shares, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan sees the "gap" between Nomura's theoretical and share value has widened.
Goldman Sachs
downgrade
2026-01-06
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
2026-01-06
downgrade
Reason
Goldman Sachs analysts removed Namura Shipbuilding from the firm's APAC Conviction List as part of its monthly update.
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