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NMR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
7.890
1 Day change
3.54%
52 Week Range
9.580
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While there are some positive catalysts, the company's recent financial performance, lack of strong trading signals, and neutral sentiment from hedge funds and insiders suggest a cautious approach. The pre-market price drop and lack of strong upward momentum also indicate that waiting for a better entry point may be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.0518 and expanding, indicating a mild bullish trend. However, RSI at 46.117 is neutral, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear direction. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 7.711, with key resistance at 7.988 and support at 7.434. Pre-market price is down 2.07%, which reflects short-term weakness.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Japan's improving business conditions, weaker yen benefiting exporters, and favorable economic outlook may provide long-term tailwinds for Nomura Holdings.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financials for Q2 2026 show declines in revenue (-5.41% YoY), net income (-5.35% YoY), and EPS (-4.55% YoY). Additionally, the pre-market price drop of 2.07% and neutral sentiment from hedge funds and insiders indicate a lack of strong buying interest.

Financial Performance

In Q2 2026, Nomura's revenue dropped by 5.41% YoY to 7.88 billion, net income fell by 5.35% YoY to 624.5 million, and EPS declined by 4.55% YoY to 0.21. However, gross margin improved by 14.03% YoY to 44.39, indicating some operational efficiency gains.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

JPMorgan recently upgraded Nomura to Overweight from Neutral with a price target increase to 1,440 yen, citing the strength of the company's core business. However, Goldman Sachs removed Nomura Shipbuilding from its APAC Conviction List earlier this year, reflecting mixed sentiment among analysts.

Wall Street analysts forecast NMR stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast NMR stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 7.620
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 7.620
sliders
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Averages
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JPMorgan
Koki Sato
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
Reason
JPMorgan
Koki Sato
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-19
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Koki Sato upgraded Nomura to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of 1,440 yen, up from 1,430 yen. The strength of the company's core business is not priced into the shares, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan sees the "gap" between Nomura's theoretical and share value has widened.
Goldman Sachs
downgrade
2026-01-06
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
2026-01-06
downgrade
Reason
Goldman Sachs analysts removed Namura Shipbuilding from the firm's APAC Conviction List as part of its monthly update.
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