NCMI Should I Buy
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National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are bearish, hedge funds are selling heavily, and analysts have lowered price targets. While the company's financial performance has shown growth in Q4 2025, the lack of positive trading signals and weak sentiment in options data suggest that this is not an optimal entry point.
The technical indicators for NCMI are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding below 0 (-0.0201), the RSI is at 27.549 (neutral zone), and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 3.146), but with no clear reversal signals.
The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 showed growth, with revenue up 8% YoY, net income up 18.62% YoY, EPS up 19.23% YoY, and gross margin improving by 1.47%.
Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 10438.36% increase in selling activity over the last quarter. Analysts have lowered price targets due to weaker-than-expected attendance and potential valuation pressure. Options data shows a high put-call ratio (850.0), indicating bearish sentiment.
In Q4 2025, National CineMedia reported revenue of $93.2M (up 8% YoY), net income of $29.3M (up 18.62% YoY), EPS of 0.31 (up 19.23% YoY), and a gross margin of 50.32% (up 1.47% YoY).
Analysts have lowered price targets recently. B. Riley reduced the target from $5 to $4 with a Neutral rating, citing a subdued outlook due to weak holiday box office performance and valuation pressure. Benchmark lowered the target from $7 to $6 but maintained a Buy rating, expecting Q4 revenue to be modestly below guidance.
