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MGM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy MGM Resorts International (MGM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
38.590
1 Day change
0.26%
52 Week Range
40.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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MGM Resorts International is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are positive indicators such as hedge fund buying and modest revenue growth, the mixed analyst ratings, lack of strong trading signals, and cautious outlook on the gaming sector suggest holding off on immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show a moderately bullish trend with MACD positively expanding, RSI in the neutral zone, and bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the pre-market price is slightly down (-0.29%), and the stock is trading near a key resistance level (R1: 38.805).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 161.90% increase in buying over the last quarter.

  • BetMGM reported a 6% YoY revenue growth in Q1, with an 11% increase in adjusted EBITDA.

  • Positive MACD and bullish moving averages indicate some upward momentum.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Mixed analyst ratings with multiple firms lowering price targets and maintaining Neutral or Underweight ratings.

  • Concerns over weakening consumer sentiment, higher fuel prices, and a cautious outlook on the gaming sector.

  • Pre-market price is down slightly (-0.29%), and the stock is near resistance levels, limiting immediate upside potential.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, MGM reported a 5.95% YoY revenue increase to $4.61 billion, a 93.66% YoY increase in net income to $299.23 million, and a 107.69% YoY increase in EPS to 1.08. However, gross margin dropped by -3.28% YoY to 37.98%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. JPMorgan raised the price target to $42 but maintained a Neutral rating. Wells Fargo lowered the target to $30 with an Underweight rating. UBS and Morgan Stanley also lowered their targets slightly, while Stifel remains optimistic with a Buy rating and a $48 price target. The overall sentiment reflects caution, with limited upside potential in the near term.

Wall Street analysts forecast MGM stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MGM stock price to rise
5 Buy
7 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 38.490
sliders
Low
29
Averages
40.31
High
56
Current: 38.490
sliders
Low
29
Averages
40.31
High
56
JPMorgan
Neutral
maintain
$41 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$41 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-04-16
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on MGM Resorts to $42 from $41 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the gaming group as part of a Q1 preview. The firm says the sector "remains choppy," with tax refund upside "clouded" by weakening consumer sentiment and higher fuel prices. JPMorgan's top ideas into earnings are MGM, Wynn and Las Vegas Sands.
Wells Fargo
Trey Bowers
Underweight
downgrade
$31 -> $30
2026-04-16
New
Reason
Wells Fargo
Trey Bowers
Price Target
$31 -> $30
2026-04-16
New
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Trey Bowers lowered the firm's price target on MGM Resorts to $30 from $31 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm's long-term view on U.S. land-based gaming is unchanged. In its 2026 outlook, Wells said a benign regional supply environment could normalize promotional spend, but this should be more than offset by land-based gaming ceding share to digital gaming. The firm prefers whole-company operators with competitive moats and/or development opportunities. Wells is generally in-line with the Street on Regional EBITDA/R in light of solid Q1 gaming trends.
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