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MBLY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Mobileye Global Inc (MBLY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
9.240
1 Day change
0.54%
52 Week Range
20.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Mobileye Global Inc (MBLY) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong revenue growth and announced a share repurchase program, the overbought technical indicators, insider selling trends, and mixed analyst ratings suggest caution. Additionally, the stock's historical trend indicates potential short-term downside. Holding off on investment until clearer positive momentum or better entry points emerge is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.167 and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. However, the RSI_6 is at 84.798, signaling the stock is overbought. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 8.746, R2: 9.222). These factors suggest limited immediate upside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Q1 2026 revenue increased by 27% YoY, driven by strong demand for EyeQ SoC.

  • Raised 2026 revenue forecast to $1.9-$2 billion.

  • Announced a $250 million share repurchase program, boosting pre-market stock performance by 13.04%.

  • Collaboration with Volkswagen on robotaxi platform and real-world testing of autonomous vehicles.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased significantly by 94071.64% over the last month.

  • Analysts have lowered price targets, with most maintaining Neutral ratings.

  • Stock trend analysis suggests a 70% chance of short-term downside (-1.1% in the next day, -5.76% in the next week, -6.95% in the next month).

  • Overbought RSI indicates potential for a pullback.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, Mobileye's revenue grew by 27.4% YoY to $558 million. Gross margin improved to 49.28%, up 4.27% YoY. However, net income remains negative at -$3.818 billion, though it improved significantly YoY (up 3643.14%). EPS also increased to -4.67, up 3492.31% YoY. The financials show growth but highlight ongoing profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed, with most maintaining Neutral ratings. Recent price target adjustments range from $8 to $9, reflecting cautious optimism. Some analysts highlight growth potential in advanced ADAS and robotaxi solutions, while others express concerns about demand, production cuts, and inflationary pressures.

Wall Street analysts forecast MBLY stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MBLY stock price to rise
9 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.190
sliders
Low
12
Averages
17.59
High
30
Current: 9.190
sliders
Low
12
Averages
17.59
High
30
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
downgrade
$12 -> $10
AI Analysis
2026-04-27
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$12 -> $10
AI Analysis
2026-04-27
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Mobileye to $10 from $12 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Mobileye raised 2026 guidance after a "strong" Q1, while maintaining a "conservative outlook," the analyst tells investors. Continued strength in China exports could support upside to the guidance, the analyst added.
Raymond James
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$16 -> $14
2026-04-24
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$16 -> $14
2026-04-24
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Raymond James lowered the firm's price target on Mobileye to $14 from $16 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The company's Q1 beat and raised fiscal 2026 outlook support the view that 2026 numbers have an upside bias despite being a transition year, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Raymond James cites the uncertain macro backdrop for the target cut.
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