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MATX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Matson Inc (MATX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
170.360
1 Day change
-0.25%
52 Week Range
180.210
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Matson Inc (MATX) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. While the stock shows some positive indicators, including bullish moving averages and improved net income and EPS in the latest quarter, the lack of significant positive news, the high insider selling, and the absence of strong proprietary trading signals suggest holding off on immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for MATX are mixed. The MACD is positive and expanding, suggesting bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 74.604, not indicating overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading near its resistance level of R1: 175.559. However, the stock's short-term trend indicates a 30% chance of a slight decline in the next day (-1.41%), week (-1.76%), and month (-0.4%).

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Open Interest Put-Call Ratio (6.3) indicates a bearish sentiment in the options market, while the low Option Volume Put-Call Ratio (0.13) suggests limited put activity relative to calls in terms of volume.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 1763.35% rise in buying activity over the last quarter.

  • Analysts have raised the price target to $213 from $190, citing better-than-expected Q4 earnings and ocean margins.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are heavily selling, with a 4743.22% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • The stock has no recent news or event-driven catalysts.

  • The financials show a decline in revenue (-4.31% YoY) and gross margin (-7.08% YoY), which could indicate potential challenges.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Matson's revenue dropped to $851.9M (-4.31% YoY), and gross margin fell to 24.82% (-7.08% YoY). However, net income increased to $143.1M (+11.80% YoY), and EPS rose to $4.57 (+19.95% YoY), showing improved profitability despite declining revenue.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Stephens raised the price target to $213 from $190 and maintained an Overweight rating, citing better-than-expected Q4 earnings and ocean margins. This indicates a positive outlook from analysts.

Wall Street analysts forecast MATX stock price to fall
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MATX stock price to fall
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 170.780
sliders
Low
167
Averages
167
High
167
Current: 170.780
sliders
Low
167
Averages
167
High
167
Stephens
Stephens
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$190 -> $213
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
Reason
Stephens
Stephens
Price Target
$190 -> $213
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Stephens raised the firm's price target on Matson to $213 from $190 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares after the company released preliminary earnings results for Q4 last week. After the pre-announcement, the firm increased its Q4 EPS estimate to $4.47 from $2.77, which includes the volumes provided by Matson, better pricing, and stronger-than-expected ocean margins.
Wolfe Research
Jacob Lacks
Outperform
maintain
$142 -> $167
2026-01-08
Reason
Wolfe Research
Jacob Lacks
Price Target
$142 -> $167
2026-01-08
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Wolfe Research analyst Jacob Lacks raised the firm's price target on Matson to $167 from $142 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm said that transport has been stuck in a prolonged and muted cycle with the ISM manufacturing index below 50 for 36 of the past 38 months, and LTL tonnage has been negative year-over-year for 22 of the past 23 months. That said, truckload spot rates have materially outperformed normal seasonality for the past six weeks, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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