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HRL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hormel Foods Corp (HRL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
22.650
1 Day change
-1.61%
52 Week Range
31.860
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Hormel Foods Corp (HRL) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong dividend history, stable financial performance, and attractive valuation metrics make it a solid choice for income-focused, long-term investing. Despite some short-term technical weakness, the stock's fundamentals and dividend yield of 5.2% provide a compelling case for purchase.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators suggest a bearish short-term trend. The MACD is below zero and negatively contracting, RSI is neutral at 49.202, and moving averages show a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support and resistance levels are Pivot: 22.638, R1: 23.047, S1: 22.229, R2: 23.299, S2: 21.977.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
12
Buy
0

Positive Catalysts

  • Hormel Foods has increased its dividend for 60 consecutive years, offering a yield of 5.2%. The company has shown a YoY increase in revenue (1.29%), net income (6.58%), and EPS (6.45%). Analysts highlight potential value with price-to-sales and price-to-book ratios below five-year averages. Additionally, the company is focusing on protein products, aligning with consumer preferences.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin has dropped by -2.45% YoY, indicating some pressure on profitability. Analysts remain cautious about sustained margin improvement in Retail and input cost normalization. Technical indicators suggest short-term bearish momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, Hormel Foods reported revenue of $3.027 billion (+1.29% YoY), net income of $181.8 million (+6.58% YoY), and EPS of $0.33 (+6.45% YoY). However, gross margin declined to 15.52% (-2.45% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts from Stephens have an Equal Weight rating on the stock, with a price target of $27 (up from $25). They are cautiously optimistic about Foodservice strength but prefer to see clearer evidence of sustained margin improvement in Retail before becoming more constructive.

Wall Street analysts forecast HRL stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HRL stock price to rise
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 23.020
sliders
Low
26
Averages
27.4
High
30
Current: 23.020
sliders
Low
26
Averages
27.4
High
30
Stephens
Stephens
Equal Weight
maintain
$25 -> $27
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
Reason
Stephens
Stephens
Price Target
$25 -> $27
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Stephens raised the firm's price target on Hormel Foods to $27 from $25 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. While the firm thinks investors can become incrementally more constructive on the strength of Foodservice, it would prefer to see clearer evidence of sustained margin improvement in Retail "before taking a more decisive stance," the analyst says in a post-earnings note.
Stephens
Stephens
Equal Weight
maintain
$27 -> $25
2026-02-11
Reason
Stephens
Stephens
Price Target
$27 -> $25
2026-02-11
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Stephens lowered the firm's price target on Hormel Foods to $25 from $27 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm, which expects continued challenges in Q1 due to lagged effects between pricing actions and input cost movements, would feel more confident becoming more constructive as results materialize or upon having a better understanding on input cost normalization/turkey upside potential, the analyst tells investors in a preview.
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