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FRME Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy First Merchants Corp (FRME) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
36.430
1 Day change
-0.33%
52 Week Range
43.220
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/13
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First Merchants Corp (FRME) is not a strong buy at the moment for a long-term beginner investor. The stock is currently oversold based on RSI, but there are no strong positive catalysts or proprietary trading signals to suggest immediate upside potential. Additionally, insider selling and declining net income and EPS in the latest quarter raise concerns. Holding off for now may be a prudent choice.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently oversold with an RSI of 19.057, indicating potential for a rebound. However, the MACD histogram is negative at -0.493, showing bearish momentum. The price is near the S1 support level of 36.26, but moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst Nathan Race from Piper Sandler raised the price target to $49 and maintains an Overweight rating, citing the recent acquisition of First Savings Financial and solid Q4 results.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 156.41% over the last month. Net income and EPS have declined YoY in the latest quarter. The stock has a 40% chance to decline by -6.02% in the next week based on candlestick pattern analysis.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 11.09% YoY to $158.86M, but net income dropped by -11.40% YoY to $56.6M, and EPS declined by -10.00% YoY to $0.99.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Piper Sandler has raised the price target to $49 from $46 and maintains an Overweight rating, citing positive impacts from the recent acquisition and solid Q4 results.

Wall Street analysts forecast FRME stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FRME stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 36.550
sliders
Low
46
Averages
48
High
50
Current: 36.550
sliders
Low
46
Averages
48
High
50
Piper Sandler
Nathan Race
Overweight
maintain
$46 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
Reason
Piper Sandler
Nathan Race
Price Target
$46 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler analyst Nathan Race raised the firm's price target on First Merchants to $49 from $46 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is also raising its 2026 operating EPS to $4.15 from $4.00 and establishing a 2027 of $4.45 following First Merchants' recent First Savings Financial acquisition closing and solid Q4 results.
Piper Sandler
Overweight
downgrade
$48 -> $46
2025-10-27
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$48 -> $46
2025-10-27
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on First Merchants to $46 from $48 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Following solid Q3 results with in-line PPNR and improved credit metrics, the firm believes First Merchants remains well-positioned to generate price-to-earnings expansion above peers.
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