FLY Should I Buy
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Firefly Aerospace Inc (FLY) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus at this time. The stock is currently in a bearish technical trend, with no significant positive catalysts in the short term. While the company shows growth in revenue and net income on a YoY basis, its financials remain weak with negative EPS and declining gross margins. Analysts have mixed views, and the stock lacks strong institutional or insider support. Given the investor's impatience and unwillingness to wait for optimal entry points, holding off on purchasing this stock is advisable until clearer positive signals emerge.
The stock is in a bearish trend with MACD negatively expanding (-0.907), RSI at 25.744 (neutral), and moving averages indicating downward momentum (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its key support level (S1: 19.813), with resistance levels far above the current price, suggesting limited upward momentum in the short term.
Revenue increased by 37.59% YoY in Q3 2025, and net income improved significantly YoY, indicating some operational progress. Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley increasing their targets to $32 and $33, respectively.
There are no recent news catalysts or significant insider/hedge fund activity. Analysts highlight risks related to launch mishaps and a limited successful track record.
In Q3 2025, revenue grew by 37.59% YoY to $30.78M, and net income improved by 204.18% YoY, but it remains negative at -$140.36M. EPS also improved by 206.25% YoY but is still negative at -0.98. Gross margin declined significantly by 20.61% YoY to 27.58%, indicating cost pressures.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with some raising price targets (Goldman Sachs: $32, Morgan Stanley: $33) and others expressing caution due to launch mishaps and operational risks. Ratings range from Neutral to Buy, with a few downgrades in recent months.
