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DOW Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Dow Inc (DOW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
36.830
1 Day change
3.46%
52 Week Range
42.740
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Dow Inc. is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock has positive catalysts, including strong analyst upgrades, elevated petrochemical prices due to supply chain disruptions, and upcoming price increases for polyethylene resin. While technical indicators are neutral, the long-term outlook appears favorable given the potential for earnings upside and analyst optimism.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is -0.413, below 0, and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 54.262, suggesting no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support and resistance levels are Pivot: 39.298, R1: 41.827, S1: 36.769, R2: 43.389, S2: 35.207.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have recently upgraded the stock with raised price targets, citing elevated petrochemical prices and supply chain disruptions.

  • Dow Inc. plans to raise polyethylene resin prices in April and May, which could boost revenues.

  • The potential resolution of the Middle East conflict is seen as a positive market catalyst.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling, with a significant increase in selling activity (895.72% over the last quarter).

  • Financial performance in 2025/Q4 showed declining revenue (-9.08% YoY) and gross margin (-35.56% YoY), although net income and EPS improved significantly.

Financial Performance

In 2025/Q4, revenue dropped to $9.46 billion (-9.08% YoY), gross margin declined to 5.31% (-35.56% YoY), but net income increased to -$1.545 billion (+2658.93% YoY), and EPS improved to -2.15 (+2587.50% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally optimistic about Dow Inc., with multiple upgrades and raised price targets. RBC Capital raised the target to $47, Alembic Global to $50, and Citi to $48. Analysts cite elevated petrochemical prices and supply chain disruptions as key drivers for earnings upside. However, BofA downgraded the stock to Underperform, citing unsustainable market tailwinds.

Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 35.600
sliders
Low
22
Averages
27.83
High
32
Current: 35.600
sliders
Low
22
Averages
27.83
High
32
RBC Capital
Arun Viswanathan
Outperform
maintain
$40 -> $47
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
Reason
RBC Capital
Arun Viswanathan
Price Target
$40 -> $47
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital analyst Arun Viswanathan raised the firm's price target on Dow Inc. to $47 from $40 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares as part of a broader research note previewing Q1 results among Commodity Chemicals names. Recent conversations with investor relations teams have indicated that lower supply is driving price action across petchems, with the potential for significant price uplift in the first half of the year to drive stronger earnings than previously expected, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Alembic Global
Hassan Ahmed
Neutral
to
Overweight
upgrade
$35 -> $50
2026-04-09
Reason
Alembic Global
Hassan Ahmed
Price Target
$35 -> $50
2026-04-09
upgrade
Neutral
to
Overweight
Reason
Alembic Global analyst Hassan Ahmed upgraded Dow Inc. to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $50, up from $35. The firm views the selloff in the shares on the Middle Ease ceasefire as overdone. The Middle East petrochemical supply chain will take time to normalize after the war, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Alembic says that even in the absence of lasting infrastructure damage, a recovery will take 8-9 months. The firm sees petrochemical prices remaining elevated, providing earnings upside for both Dow and LyondellBasell.
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