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DFLI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
1.730
1 Day change
-0.57%
52 Week Range
26.100
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The stock is experiencing bearish technical indicators, weak financial performance, and lacks positive catalysts. Analysts have significantly lowered price targets due to ongoing demand softness and liquidity concerns, despite some longer-term potential in its dry electrode technology. Given the investor's preference for long-term investments and the current lack of strong buy signals, holding off on investing is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for DFLI are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding, RSI is at 22.676 (indicating oversold conditions but not a clear signal), and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below key support levels, with S1 at 1.976 and S2 at 1.622, suggesting further downside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • The company has executed pivotal financings and debt restructuring, which have stabilized its capital structure. Analysts see potential in the development of its dry electrode technology for long-term growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Weak Q1 2026 guidance, ongoing demand softness in core markets, and liquidity concerns. Gross margin has dropped significantly (-12.37% YoY), and the company remains unprofitable with a net income of -$45.91M in Q4 2025.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 6.94% YoY to $13.06M, but net income remains negative at -$45.91M (up 366.44% YoY). EPS improved slightly to -14.92 (up 7.65% YoY). Gross margin dropped to 18.21%, down -12.37% YoY, indicating profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have lowered price targets significantly (Canaccord: $3.25 from $22.50; Roth Capital: $5 from $15) due to weak demand and liquidity concerns. Both firms maintain a Buy rating, citing potential long-term upside in dry electrode technology and gradual recovery in core markets.

Wall Street analysts forecast DFLI stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DFLI stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 1.740
sliders
Low
15
Averages
18.75
High
22.5
Current: 1.740
sliders
Low
15
Averages
18.75
High
22.5
Canaccord
Buy
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-17
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-17
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord lowered the firm's price target on Dragonfly Energy to $3.25 from $22.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said while December-quarter results were in line, 1Q26 guidance was relatively weak. They Dragonfly executed a series of pivotal financings that effectively stabilized its capital structure. However, in light of the implied burn rate for 1Q26, they are keeping a watchful eye on the company's liquidity position. The target change is to reflect 10:1 stock split and their revenue/profitability assumptions based on continued weakness.
Roth Capital
Buy
downgrade
$15 -> $5
2026-03-17
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$15 -> $5
2026-03-17
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital lowered the firm's price target on Dragonfly Energy to $5 from $15 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Model updates reflect ongoing demand softness, though recent capital raises, debt restructuring, and cost actions provide runway toward profitability through gradual recovery in core RV demand and expansion in C&I markets, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Future development of the company's dry electrode technology, viewed as underappreciated by investors, remains a key source of longer-term upside, Roth says.
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