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CRC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy California Resources Corp (CRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
68.550
1 Day change
-0.49%
52 Week Range
71.930
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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California Resources Corp (CRC) is not an ideal buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the stock has shown recent price momentum and bullish technical indicators, the company's financial performance has significantly deteriorated in the latest quarter, and the stock is currently overbought based on RSI levels. Additionally, the options data indicates bearish sentiment with a high put-call ratio. Despite positive catalysts such as rising oil prices and favorable analyst ratings, the negative financial trends and lack of strong proprietary trading signals suggest a wait-and-watch approach is more prudent.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for CRC are mixed. The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. Moving averages are in a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading above key resistance levels. However, the RSI is at 81.298, signaling an overbought condition, which could lead to a short-term pullback.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Rising oil prices due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

  • Favorable analyst ratings with multiple price target upgrades, some as high as $

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions in the stock.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue, net income, and EPS all showing significant YoY declines.

  • Overbought technical condition as indicated by RSI.

  • Bearish sentiment in options data, with a high put-call volume ratio of 9.26.

Financial Performance

The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant decline. Revenue dropped by -13.82% YoY to $798M, net income fell by -63.64% YoY to $12M, and EPS decreased by -61.11% YoY to $0.14. Gross margin also declined to 43.11%, down -13.40% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on CRC, with multiple firms raising price targets recently. JPMorgan and Mizuho have set the highest price targets at $86, citing rising oil prices and geopolitical risks as key factors. However, Citi maintains a Neutral rating, reflecting some caution.

Wall Street analysts forecast CRC stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CRC stock price to fall
9 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 68.890
sliders
Low
56
Averages
64.33
High
72
Current: 68.890
sliders
Low
56
Averages
64.33
High
72
Citi
Scott Gruber
Neutral
maintain
$67 -> $74
AI Analysis
2026-03-29
New
Reason
Citi
Scott Gruber
Price Target
$67 -> $74
AI Analysis
2026-03-29
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi analyst Scott Gruber raised the firm's price target on California Resources to $74 from $67 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Citi updated models in the oil exploration and production group to reflect its higher oil price forecasts.
JPMorgan
Overweight
upgrade
$72 -> $86
2026-03-20
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$72 -> $86
2026-03-20
upgrade
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on California Resources to $86 from $72 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says oil market fundamentals "shifted on a dime" due to the Middle East conflict. The war has significantly reduced global productive capacity and "quickly evaporated the risk" of a supply glut in 2026 following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan would not be surprised to see a $5-$10 per barrel geopolitical risk premium embedded into the long-end of the oil price curve.
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