BTDR Should I Buy
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Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has shown significant revenue growth and a turnaround in profitability in its latest quarter, the stock's technical indicators are bearish, and recent analyst downgrades suggest caution. Additionally, the lack of strong proprietary trading signals and the absence of recent congress trading activity further weaken the case for immediate investment.
The technical indicators for BTDR are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.312), RSI is at 27.52 (neutral zone), and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 10.801), with resistance levels far above (R1: 13.552).
Revenue for Q4 increased by 225.8% YoY, exceeding market expectations.
The company achieved a net profit of $70.5 million in Q4, a significant turnaround from a loss in the previous year.
Bitdeer mined 668 BTC in January 2026, marking a 430% YoY increase, showcasing strong competitiveness in the cryptocurrency market.
Regular market change showed a significant decline of -13.51%.
Analysts have lowered price targets significantly, citing concerns about increased depreciation expenses, AI cloud uncertainty, and lower Bitcoin price modeling.
EPS estimates have seen no upward revisions and four downward adjustments over the past three months.
In Q4 2025, Bitdeer reported revenue of $224.8 million, up 225.8% YoY, and a net profit of $70.5 million, a major improvement from a $531.9 million loss in the same period last year. However, gross margin dropped to 4.7%, down 36.4% YoY, and EPS dropped to 0.31, down 109.57% YoY.
Analyst sentiment is mixed but leaning towards caution. Benchmark and Rosenblatt maintain Buy ratings but have significantly lowered price targets to $27 and $18, respectively. Keefe Bruyette downgraded the stock to Market Perform with a price target of $14, citing uncertainties in AI cloud initiatives and limited clarity on expansion.
