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AWR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy American States Water Co (AWR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
73.890
1 Day change
0.86%
52 Week Range
82.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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American States Water Co (AWR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has a strong dividend history and stable financials, the technical indicators and trading sentiment do not suggest an immediate buying opportunity. The lack of significant positive catalysts and the absence of Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals further support a hold recommendation.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative and expanding (-0.272), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 35.1, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 72.664), with resistance levels at R1: 75.72 and R2: 76.664. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low open interest put-call ratio indicates a balanced sentiment, while the high option volume put-call ratio (3.87) suggests bearish sentiment in the short term.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • The company has a 71-year history of increasing dividends, a 2.7% dividend yield, and a 58% payout ratio, which indicates strong earnings to support dividend growth. Revenue increased by 14.80% YoY in Q4 2025, showcasing growth potential.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin dropped by 7.23% YoY in Q4 2025, which could indicate cost pressures. The stock's technical indicators are neutral to bearish, and there is no recent trading activity from hedge funds, insiders, or Congress. Additionally, the stock has a 60% chance of declining in the next day, week, and month based on candlestick patterns.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 14.80% YoY to $164.28 million, net income grew by 1.22% YoY to $28.66 million, and EPS remained flat at 0.74. However, gross margin declined by 7.23% YoY to 68.92%, which could be a concern for profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No recent analyst rating or price target changes are available for AWR. Wall Street views the stock as a stable long-term dividend investment, but there is no strong buy sentiment currently.

Wall Street analysts forecast AWR stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast AWR stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 73.260
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 73.260
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Wells Fargo
Underweight -> Equal Weight
upgrade
$76 -> $84
AI Analysis
2025-05-08
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$76 -> $84
AI Analysis
2025-05-08
upgrade
Underweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo upgraded American States Water to Equal Weight from Underweight with a price target of $84, up from $76. The firm cites the company's "solid start" to 2025 and the stock's year-to-date underperformance for the downgrade. American States is a high quality water utility worthy of a premium valuation, and Wells now has increased confidence in its earnings forecasts, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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