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ASPN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
3.250
1 Day change
1.25%
52 Week Range
9.780
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Aspen Aerogels Inc (ASPN) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company is facing significant financial challenges, weak technical indicators, insider selling, and a lack of positive catalysts. Analysts have lowered price targets, and the options data suggests bearish sentiment. Given the investor's profile, this stock does not align with their goals.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for ASPN are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, RSI is neutral at 48.066, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support and resistance levels suggest the stock is closer to support at 3.106, with resistance at 3.656. Overall, the trend is weak and lacks upward momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates bearish sentiment, with a low put-call ratio for open interest and moderate activity in put options relative to calls. Implied volatility is extremely high at 345.94, suggesting uncertainty and risk.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • No significant positive catalysts identified. Analysts note potential long-term value, but near-term challenges dominate.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Financial performance is severely deteriorating, with revenue down 66.42% YoY and net income dropping 741.73% YoY in Q4

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 288.04% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Analysts have lowered price targets significantly, citing weak GM EV outlook and macroeconomic challenges.

  • No recent news or events to drive positive sentiment.

Financial Performance

Aspen Aerogels reported a disastrous Q4 2025, with revenue dropping to $41.34M (-66.42% YoY), net income plunging to -$72.91M (-741.73% YoY), and EPS falling to -0.88 (-728.57% YoY). Gross margin also dropped to -55.47%, reflecting significant operational inefficiencies.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed but leaning negative. Barclays downgraded the price target to $3 and maintains an Underweight rating. Roth Capital, B. Riley, and TD Cowen lowered price targets but maintain Buy ratings, citing long-term potential despite near-term challenges. Overall, analysts are cautious with reduced expectations.

Wall Street analysts forecast ASPN stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast ASPN stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 3.210
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 3.210
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Barclays
Underweight
downgrade
$4 -> $3
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$4 -> $3
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Aspen Aerogels to $3 from $4 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The company missed expectations as weakness in the GM electric vehicle outlook persists, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Roth Capital
Chip Moore
Buy
downgrade
$6 -> $3
2026-02-26
Reason
Roth Capital
Chip Moore
Price Target
$6 -> $3
2026-02-26
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Chip Moore lowered the firm's price target on Aspen Aerogels to $3 from $6 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings miss. While near-term visibility stays challenging given policy dynamics and a demand reset for key customer GM, the firm sees underlying platform value and an attractive longer-term opportunity, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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