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ARCC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Ares Capital Corp (ARCC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
18.030
1 Day change
-0.39%
52 Week Range
23.410
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/18
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Ares Capital Corp (ARCC) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the stock offers high dividend yields and insiders are buying, the technical indicators are bearish, analysts have lowered price targets, and there are concerns about borrower defaults and economic uncertainty. Given the lack of strong positive catalysts and the absence of proprietary trading signals, it is better to hold off on buying ARCC at this time.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding below zero, the RSI is neutral at 21.103, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below the pivot level of 18.666, with key support at 18.171 and resistance at 19.16. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high open interest put-call ratio indicates bearish sentiment, while the low option volume put-call ratio suggests limited downside activity in the short term.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Insiders are buying, with a 165.49% increase in buying activity over the last month. The stock offers high dividend yields above 10%, which may attract income-focused investors.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have downgraded the stock and lowered price targets due to concerns about non-accruals, restructurings, and economic uncertainty. News highlights risks of borrower defaults and reduced income sources for business development companies in an economic downturn. Technical indicators and options data reflect bearish sentiment.

Financial Performance

No financial performance data available for the latest quarter.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst activity includes multiple price target reductions: Wells Fargo downgraded the stock to Equal Weight with a target of $19, while others have lowered targets to $20-$22 but maintain Buy or Outperform ratings. Analysts cite risks of non-accruals and restructurings but acknowledge Ares's strong track record.

Wall Street analysts forecast ARCC stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARCC stock price to rise
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 18.100
sliders
Low
20
Averages
21.75
High
23
Current: 18.100
sliders
Low
20
Averages
21.75
High
23
Wells Fargo
Finian O'Shea
Overweight
to
Equal Weight
downgrade
$20 -> $19
AI Analysis
2026-06-12
Reason
Wells Fargo
Finian O'Shea
Price Target
$20 -> $19
AI Analysis
2026-06-12
downgrade
Overweight
to
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Finian O'Shea downgraded Ares Capital to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $19, down from $20. The firm downgraded three business development company stocks, seeing less upside potential due to "richer valuations and the difficulty to deliver for those in today's environment." Wells sees risk of continued non-accruals and restructurings weighing on net operating income and dividend coverage into next year.
B. Riley
Buy
maintain
$22 -> $20
2026-04-29
Reason
B. Riley
Price Target
$22 -> $20
2026-04-29
maintain
Buy
Reason
B. Riley lowered the firm's price target on Ares Capital to $20 from $22 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Ares Capital reported mixed Q1 results, with net investment income below expectations and NAV declining due to portfolio markdowns, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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