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AQN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
6.280
1 Day change
1.78%
52 Week Range
7.110
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While there are some positive catalysts such as hedge fund interest and upcoming rate case approvals, the company's weak financial performance in the latest quarter, lack of significant trading signals, and recent price decline suggest a cautious approach. Holding the stock or waiting for more favorable conditions is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show mixed signals. The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 53.634, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the stock is trading near its pivot point of 6.877, with key resistance at 7.049 and support at 6.705. The recent price decline (-1.29% in regular trading and -0.29% pre-market) indicates short-term weakness.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity by 241.67% over the last quarter.

  • Analysts have upgraded the stock recently, with National Bank raising its price target to $7.50 and upgrading the rating to Outperform.

  • Upcoming rate case approvals in 2026 are expected to close the return on equity and valuation gap to peers.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Weak financial performance in Q3 2025, with net income and EPS dropping over 100% YoY.

  • Recent price decline (-1.29% in regular trading and -0.29% pre-market) indicates short-term bearish sentiment.

  • No recent congress trading data or significant insider activity.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 1.66% YoY to $582.7 million, but net income dropped by -102.77% YoY to $36.2 million, and EPS fell by -102.92% YoY to $0.05. Gross margin improved slightly by 0.84% YoY to 62.07%. Overall, the financial performance shows weak profitability despite slight revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst activity includes National Bank upgrading the stock to Outperform with a price target of $7.50, citing upcoming rate case approvals as catalysts. JPMorgan raised the price target to C$10 but maintained a Neutral rating. Analysts are cautiously optimistic about the stock's future performance.

Wall Street analysts forecast AQN stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AQN stock price to rise
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 6.170
sliders
Low
6.5
Averages
6.75
High
7.5
Current: 6.170
sliders
Low
6.5
Averages
6.75
High
7.5
CIBC
Mark Jarvi
Neutral
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
New
Reason
CIBC
Mark Jarvi
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
CIBC analyst Mark Jarvi lowered the firm's price target on Algonquin Power to $6.25 from $6.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company announced a "surprising" 2027 earnings outlook reduction citing a higher tax burden, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the news has "eroded" investor confidence and overshadows Algonquin's progress on rate cases.
TD Securities
Sean Steuart
Hold
downgrade
$6
2026-03-09
New
Reason
TD Securities
Sean Steuart
Price Target
$6
2026-03-09
New
downgrade
Hold
Reason
TD Securities analyst Sean Steuart lowered the firm's price target on Algonquin Power to $6 from $6.50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The company following reduced its 2027 earnings guidance by 9% at the midpoint due to newly anticipated tax headwinds, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects Algonquin to pursue optimization strategies to mitigate higher taxes.
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