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APO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Apollo Global Management Inc (APO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
108.170
1 Day change
0.03%
52 Week Range
157.280
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Apollo Global Management Inc (APO) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown significant revenue growth in the latest quarter, its declining net income and EPS, coupled with ongoing legal challenges and bearish technical indicators, suggest caution. The options data and analyst ratings are mixed, and there are no strong proprietary trading signals to support an immediate buy decision. Holding off for more clarity or better entry points is advisable.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for APO are bearish. The MACD histogram is negative (-0.536) and contracting, indicating weak momentum. The RSI is neutral at 43.192, and the moving averages show a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 110.738, with resistance at 118.86 and support at 102.617. These factors suggest limited upside potential in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data shows a slightly bearish sentiment with a higher put-call volume ratio (1.38) and a relatively neutral open interest put-call ratio (0.92). Implied volatility is high (46.46), indicating uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
0

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue growth of 70.13% YoY in Q4

  • Analysts from BofA and Morgan Stanley maintain a Buy rating, citing growth potential in alternative investments and income solutions.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Net income dropped by 54.91% YoY, and EPS declined by 47.44% YoY in Q4

  • Legal challenges, including a class action lawsuit related to undisclosed ties with Jeffrey Epstein.

  • Concerns raised by influential investors about risks in the private credit market.

  • Bearish technical indicators and mixed analyst ratings.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Apollo Global Management reported a 70.13% YoY increase in revenue to $9.93 billion. However, net income dropped significantly by 54.91% YoY to $638 million, and EPS fell by 47.44% YoY to $1.23. This indicates strong top-line growth but declining profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. While firms like BofA and Morgan Stanley have raised their price targets and maintain Buy ratings, others like Barclays and UBS have lowered their targets, citing valuation concerns and shifting market dynamics. The current price target range is between $131 and $181, with the average target reflecting moderate upside from the current price.

Wall Street analysts forecast APO stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast APO stock price to rise
10 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 108.140
sliders
Low
136
Averages
164.45
High
182
Current: 108.140
sliders
Low
136
Averages
164.45
High
182
Barclays
Benjamin Budish
Overweight -> NULL
downgrade
$158 -> $131
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
Reason
Barclays
Benjamin Budish
Price Target
$158 -> $131
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
downgrade
Overweight -> NULL
Reason
Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish lowered the firm's price target on Apollo Global to $131 from $158 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm revised estimates across the alternative asset manager group. While it remains too early to determine the real AI impact to portfolio companies, Barclays lowered business development company related earnings on lower flow assumptions and realization, the analyst tells investors in a research note
BofA
Buy
maintain
$161 -> $167
2026-02-24
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$161 -> $167
2026-02-24
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Apollo Global to $167 from $161 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is revising EPS estimates for several of its covered brokers, asset managers and exchanges that recently reported earnings.
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