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APLD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Applied Digital Corp (APLD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
20.550
1 Day change
-13.53%
52 Week Range
42.270
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Applied Digital Corp (APLD) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has strong growth potential in the AI infrastructure space, recent insider selling, headline risks, and declining technical indicators suggest caution. The stock's recent price decline, combined with its negative financial performance in the latest quarter, makes it less attractive for immediate investment. Waiting for stabilization or further positive catalysts may be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is positive at 0.17 but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI at 38.872 is neutral but leaning towards oversold. Moving averages are converging, showing indecision in the trend. Key support is at $25.356, and resistance is at $28.705. The stock is trading near its support level, but no clear bullish signal is present.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • The company is positioned to benefit from hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure, with long-term leases like Oracle's 15-year agreement expected to generate $5 billion in revenue.

  • Revenue increased by 250% YoY in Q2 2026, reflecting strong business growth.

  • Analysts maintain high price targets, with a range of $36 to $99, and view the recent price decline as headline risk rather than a fundamental issue.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Nvidia's recent exit from its 7.7M share position has created headline risk and market uncertainty.

  • Insider selling has surged by 4071.27% over the last month, raising concerns about management's confidence in the stock.

  • Financial performance shows a net loss of $19.08M in Q2 2026, with declining gross margins and EPS.

  • The stock has a high implied volatility of 111.02, indicating elevated risk.

Financial Performance

In Q2 2026, revenue grew by 250.05% YoY to $126.6M, but the company reported a net loss of $19.08M, down 86.31% YoY. EPS dropped by 89.39% to -0.07, and gross margin declined by 44.91% to 20.57%. While revenue growth is impressive, profitability metrics are deteriorating.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly bullish, with multiple Buy ratings and price targets ranging from $36 to $99. Analysts highlight the company's strong position in the AI infrastructure market, advanced hyperscaler agreements, and potential value unlocked from the cloud business spin-off. However, recent price declines are attributed to headline risks rather than fundamental issues.

Wall Street analysts forecast APLD stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast APLD stock price to rise
10 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 23.760
sliders
Low
36
Averages
52.22
High
99
Current: 23.760
sliders
Low
36
Averages
52.22
High
99
Roth Capital
Darren Aftahi
Buy
maintain
$58
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
Reason
Roth Capital
Darren Aftahi
Price Target
$58
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Darren Aftahi keeps a Buy rating and $58 price target on Applied Digital (APLD) while noting the firm is "buying shares" as the company's stock falls about 8% afterhours on the news that Nvidia (NVDA) has eliminated its 7.7M share position. Much has changed since that Nvidia-led financing, including 2 colocation leases, one with CoreWeave (CRWV) and another with a hyperscaler, and soon to be a third lease, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding the decline is more due to "headline risk than any fundamental change" in Applied Digital's investment story.
Northland
Mike Grondahl
Outperform
maintain
$40 -> $56
2026-01-28
Reason
Northland
Mike Grondahl
Price Target
$40 -> $56
2026-01-28
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Northland analyst Mike Grondahl raised the firm's price target on Applied Digital to $56 from $40 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following "some exciting commentary" on the Q2 call that indicates that the company is currently in advanced discussions with a new top-of-the-stack IG hyperscaler for potentially three sites and 900 MW.
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