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APLD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Applied Digital Corp (APLD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
31.850
1 Day change
1.01%
52 Week Range
42.270
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Applied Digital Corp (APLD) shows mixed signals for a long-term beginner investor. While the company has demonstrated significant revenue growth and has bullish technical indicators, insider selling and a lack of clear trading signals from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals suggest caution. Additionally, the company's financials still show negative net income and EPS, which may not align with a beginner investor's risk tolerance. For now, holding off on buying is recommended until stronger positive catalysts emerge or financials improve further.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are generally bullish. The MACD histogram is positive and contracting, suggesting a potential continuation of upward momentum. The RSI is neutral at 64.696, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at 30.883 and 33.078, while support levels are at 23.778 and 21.583. However, the stock's recent price trend shows a decline in regular and post-market trading.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Significant revenue growth of 139.29% YoY in Q3

  • Restructured leases with CoreWeave to lower capital costs, potentially improving financing terms.

  • Bullish moving averages and positive MACD signal.

  • Analysts maintain a Buy rating with price targets ranging from $42 to $58, citing strong AI growth potential and promising lease developments.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 4071.27% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Mixed market sentiment, as evidenced by post-earnings sell-off despite strong revenue growth.

  • Net income remains negative at -$100.86M, and EPS is still in the red at -0.

  • No significant hedge fund activity or congress trading data to support bullish sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, Applied Digital reported a 139.29% YoY increase in revenue to $126.64M. Net income improved but remains negative at -$100.86M, up 179.43% YoY. EPS increased to -0.36, up 125% YoY. Gross margin improved significantly to 42.49%, up 495.10% YoY, reflecting better operational efficiency but still not profitable overall.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are bullish on APLD, with Roth Capital, Northland, and Texas Capital maintaining Buy ratings and price targets ranging from $42 to $58. Analysts highlight strong AI growth potential, promising lease developments, and improving fundamentals. However, recent insider selling and Nvidia's exit from its position in APLD have raised concerns about market sentiment.

Wall Street analysts forecast APLD stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast APLD stock price to rise
10 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 31.530
sliders
Low
36
Averages
52.22
High
99
Current: 31.530
sliders
Low
36
Averages
52.22
High
99
Roth Capital
Buy
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital says Applied Digital's (APLD) Q3 was a true inflection quarter with the first steady-state HPC lease revenue from its first 100MW building, while there is still some noise with technical fit out and on the re-contribution from the AI cloud business. The more important development was the CoreWeave (CRWV) lease restructuring disclosed on March 30, which amended the ELN-02/03 leases to flow through a CoreWeave SPV that received an A3 rating, the firm notes. On the pipeline, there was no major lease announcement, but Roth believes fundamentals are strengthening. The firm expects key near-term catalyst in a DF lease and a new tranche of debt but would use weakness to accumulate shares, as Applied remains a top pick. Roth has a Buy rating on the shares.
Roth Capital
Darren Aftahi
Buy
maintain
$58
2026-02-17
Reason
Roth Capital
Darren Aftahi
Price Target
$58
2026-02-17
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Darren Aftahi keeps a Buy rating and $58 price target on Applied Digital (APLD) while noting the firm is "buying shares" as the company's stock falls about 8% afterhours on the news that Nvidia (NVDA) has eliminated its 7.7M share position. Much has changed since that Nvidia-led financing, including 2 colocation leases, one with CoreWeave (CRWV) and another with a hyperscaler, and soon to be a third lease, the analyst tells investors in a research note, adding the decline is more due to "headline risk than any fundamental change" in Applied Digital's investment story.
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