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AMRC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Ameresco Inc (AMRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
35.580
1 Day change
11.99%
52 Week Range
44.930
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/22
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Ameresco is not a clean buy right now for a beginner with a long-term horizon, even with $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The stock has constructive analyst support and strong long-term theme exposure, but the current technical setup is mixed, options sentiment is extremely bullish, and there is not enough financial snapshot data here to confirm a strong fundamentals-based entry. Since the investor is impatient and wants a direct answer, my view is to hold off on buying today and wait for a better setup.

Technical Analysis

AMRC is trading at 30.65, slightly above the previous close of 30.22. The trend is not strongly bullish yet: MACD histogram is -0.157 and still negatively expanding, which suggests downside momentum remains in place. RSI_6 at 49.716 is neutral, so the stock is neither oversold nor overbought. Moving averages are converging, which usually signals indecision rather than a confirmed trend. Price is sitting near the pivot at 30.845, with resistance at 33.381 and support at 28.308. That means the stock is in the middle of a range, not at an attractive breakout point. The modeled near-term pattern is modestly positive, but not strong enough to override the mixed technical picture.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is very bullish. The open interest put-call ratio of 0.07 is extremely low, showing call-heavy positioning. Call open interest is much larger than put open interest, and option volume put-call ratio is 0.0, implying almost no put activity in today's flow. Implied volatility is elevated at 84.54, with IV percentile at 74.21, suggesting options are pricing in a meaningful move. This supports a bullish sentiment read, but it also means the market is already leaning hard to the upside.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
12

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Analysts continue to maintain bullish ratings, including Overweight/Buy/Outperform views.", "Cantor Fitzgerald raised the price target to $45, and Canaccord raised it to $59, signaling improved confidence.", "The company is benefiting from strong demand tied to electricity needs, energy infrastructure, and data center-related onsite power demand.", "Management has reiterated an intact operating outlook despite accounting-related revisions.", "The stock has favorable options positioning, which reflects bullish market sentiment."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["Technical momentum is not yet confirmed, with a negative MACD histogram and only neutral RSI.", "The latest price is sitting near the middle of the recent range, not near a clear breakout or deep-value entry.", "One recent analyst note cut the target to $36 from $44, showing some disagreement in the Street view.", "Hedge funds and insiders are neutral, so there is no strong ownership signal.", "No recent politician or influential figure trading activity was found.", "No recent congress trading data was available.", "Financial snapshot data was unavailable, limiting confidence in the latest quarter growth assessment."]

Financial Performance

The financial snapshot for the latest quarter was not available in the provided data, so a full quarter-by-quarter assessment cannot be made. Based on analyst commentary, the company reported healthy results and reiterated guidance, with revenue expected around $2.0B-$2.2B, EBITDA of $270M-$295M, and EPS of $1.10-$1.35 for 2026. Analysts also referenced strong demand from data centers and a healthy project backlog, which points to ongoing growth momentum. The latest quarter season is not directly provided in the financial snapshot, but the most recent analyst notes were tied to Q1 results and subsequent guidance updates.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

The analyst trend remains positive overall, with multiple recent upgrades or raised price targets. Cantor Fitzgerald raised its target to $45 and kept Overweight. Canaccord raised its target to $59 and kept Buy. Baird lowered its target to $36 but remained Outperform. UBS is the main cautious outlier with a Neutral rating and a $28 target. Overall, Wall Street is still leaning bullish, but the range of targets shows some uncertainty about near-term valuation and earnings translation. Pros: strong long-term growth themes, reiterated guidance, and improving target prices from several firms. Cons: mixed target dispersion, one recent downgrade in target, and some revisions tied more to accounting/minority-interest effects than to a pure acceleration in core operations.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

  • AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
  • SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Wall Street analysts forecast AMRC stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AMRC stock price to rise
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 31.770
sliders
Low
37
Averages
41.4
High
45
Current: 31.770
sliders
Low
37
Averages
41.4
High
45
Cantor Fitzgerald
Manish Somaiya
Overweight
maintain
$41 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-05-19
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Manish Somaiya
Price Target
$41 -> $45
AI Analysis
2026-05-19
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Manish Somaiya raised the firm's price target on Ameresco to $45 from $41 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Ameresco is seeing only modest top-line changes following the Neogenyx joint venture closing, but reported EPS and EBITDA revisions are driven primarily by accounting and minority-interest effects rather than any deterioration in the core business, with management reiterating that the underlying operating outlook remains intact despite a slightly mixed FY26-FY27 earnings translation, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Canaccord
George Gianarikas
Buy
maintain
$50 -> $59
2026-05-06
Reason
Canaccord
George Gianarikas
Price Target
$50 -> $59
2026-05-06
maintain
Buy
Reason
Canaccord analyst George Gianarikas raised the firm's price target on Ameresco to $59 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said its results were healthy and guidance was reiterated.
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