AGM Should I Buy
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Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp (AGM) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown positive financial performance and analysts have raised price targets, the lack of strong trading signals, neutral insider/hedge fund activity, and the stock's potential for short-term decline suggest it is better to hold off on buying for now.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 63.291. Moving averages are converging, suggesting no clear trend. Key resistance levels are at 181.589 and 185.617, while support levels are at 168.547 and 164.519. The stock is trading near its resistance level, which could limit short-term upside potential.
Financial performance in Q3 2025 showed revenue growth of 2.32% YoY, net income growth of 15.10% YoY, and EPS growth of 15.03% YoY.
Analysts have raised price targets recently, citing improving sector conditions and rising mortgage application volumes.
Stock trend analysis indicates a 60% chance of a -3.16% decline in the next week and a -6.28% decline in the next month.
No significant insider or hedge fund activity.
No recent news or congress trading data to suggest strong external catalysts.
In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of $419.3M, up 2.32% YoY. Net income increased by 15.10% YoY to $48.7M, and EPS rose by 15.03% YoY to 4.44. Gross margin improved to 24.43%, up 12.63% YoY, indicating strong profitability growth.
Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Piper Sandler increasing the target to $10 from $9 and Keefe Bruyette raising it to $9 from $8.50. Both maintain positive ratings on the stock, citing improving sector conditions and rising refinance activity.
