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AGM.A Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp (AGM.A) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
118.680
1 Day change
1.38%
52 Week Range
148.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp (AGM.A) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The technical indicators are bearish, financial performance shows declining net income and EPS, and there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to support immediate investment. A hold position is recommended until more favorable conditions emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and contracting (-0.196), RSI is neutral at 45.008, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below key pivot levels (Pivot: 145.288, Current Price: 118.28), indicating a bearish trend.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Gross margin increased by 2.42% YoY to 25.77%, indicating some operational efficiency improvements.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Net income dropped by -20.08% YoY, EPS decreased by -20.13% YoY, and the company's annual growth rate (3.7%) and EPS growth (3.3%) are below the financial sector average. No significant hedge fund or insider trading activity. News sentiment highlights Farmer Mac as a potential value trap.

Financial Performance

In 2025/Q4, revenue increased by 4.00% YoY to $420.23M, but net income dropped to $40.64M (-20.08% YoY) and EPS fell to 3.69 (-20.13% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Keefe Bruyette recently lowered the price target from $219 to $215 while maintaining an Outperform rating, reflecting a slightly reduced but still positive outlook.

Wall Street analysts forecast AGM.A stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AGM.A stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 118.680
sliders
Low
219
Averages
219
High
219
Current: 118.680
sliders
Low
219
Averages
219
High
219
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
downgrade
$219 -> $215
AI Analysis
2026-02-23
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$219 -> $215
AI Analysis
2026-02-23
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on Federal Agricultural Mortgage to $215 from $219 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Piper Sandler
Piper Sandler
Overweight
maintain
$9 -> $10
2025-12-22
Reason
Piper Sandler
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$9 -> $10
2025-12-22
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on AG Mortgage to $10 from $9 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares ahead of Q4 results for the firm's mortgage finance coverage. The sector backdrop has shifted positively, driven by 30-year rates falling to 6.2% from 7%-plus highs earlier in the year and material tightening in agency spreads. While the market has not yet fully "normalized," momentum is building, Piper argues. Mortgage application volumes are rising, led by an 18% sequential and 100%-plus year-over-year surge in refinance activity. Additionally, GSE reform is likely to return to the spotlight given the administration's push for a deal under President Trump and FHFA Director Bill Pulte, it adds.
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