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ABUS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Arbutus Biopharma Corp (ABUS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.320
1 Day change
-8.47%
52 Week Range
5.100
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Arbutus Biopharma Corp (ABUS) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are some positive catalysts like the Moderna settlement, the company's weak financial performance, lack of strong technical signals, and neutral trading sentiment suggest holding off on investment for now.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the MACD is above 0, indicating a positive trend. However, RSI is neutral at 71.326, and the stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 4.769). The short-term trend suggests a potential decline (-2.08% next day, -1.59% next week).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options data shows a balanced sentiment with a slight tilt towards calls, but the implied volatility (83.29) and IV percentile (66.93) indicate high uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • The $2.25 billion settlement with Moderna, including a $950 million payment in Q3 2026, is a significant positive catalyst for Arbutus. This settlement resolves litigation and could provide financial stability.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Additionally, the stock's short-term trend indicates potential declines, and there are no strong trading signals or insider/hedge fund activity.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, Arbutus reported a 60.49% YoY revenue drop to $529,000, a 60.73% YoY net income decline to -$7.74 million, and a 60.00% YoY EPS drop to -0.04. Gross margin remained stable at 100%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Jefferies analyst maintains a Buy rating on Arbutus, citing confidence in the company's patent position despite a recent judgment favoring Moderna. However, there are no recent upgrades or significant changes in price targets.

Wall Street analysts forecast ABUS stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ABUS stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 4.720
sliders
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Current: 4.720
sliders
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Jefferies
Dennis Ding
Buy
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
Reason
Jefferies
Dennis Ding
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies analyst Dennis Ding notes that Judge Wolson issued summary judgment on three matters in a patent fight between Arbutus Biopharma (ABUS) and Moderna (MRNA). While the analyst says two of the three rulings were in-line with the firm's thinking going into summary judgment, the judgement in favor of Moderna that Arbutus cannot claim infringement under the "doctrine of equivalents" seemed "interesting" as the Judge basically is implying Arbutus needs to meet a higher bar to prove infringement. However, this "shouldn't technically change the outcome" since the firm believes Moderna's LNP components lie within Arbutus' patented range, the analyst added. The firm has a Buy rating on Arbutus shares and a Hold rating on Moderna.
Chardan Capital
Keay Nakae
Strong Buy
Maintains
$5
2025-03-28
Reason
Chardan Capital
Keay Nakae
Price Target
$5
2025-03-28
Maintains
Strong Buy
Reason

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