Deere & Company (NYSE: DE), the renowned manufacturer of agricultural machinery and equipment, continues to be a focal point in the financial markets as it navigates the choppy waters of tariffs and an agricultural trade deficit. This article delves into its latest earnings report, segment performance, key developments, and insights from company executives, offering a glimpse into the company’s strategic recalibration in the face of persistent economic challenges.
Deere & Co Earnings Summary
Deere & Company released its third-quarter earnings report, reflecting its ongoing struggle with tariffs and the impact of a record-high agricultural trade deficit in the United States. For the latest quarter, analysts had anticipated revenue of $10.31 billion, a decrease from $13.15 billion in the same quarter last year. Meanwhile, earnings per share (EPS) were expected to be $4.63, down from $6.29 reported last year. Despite these declines, the company has a robust track record of surpassing analyst expectations, having done so for more than ten consecutive quarters.
Deere & Co Financial Results
| Financial Metric | Q3 2025 | Q3 2024 | Year-over-Year Change | Consensus Estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue ($B) | 10.31 | 13.15 | -21.6% | 10.31 |
| EPS ($) | 4.63 | 6.29 | -26.4% | 4.63 |
The table above showcases the key financial metrics, including the revenue and earnings per share for the third quarter of 2025 compared to the same quarter last year. The revenue contracted by 21.6%, while EPS dropped by 26.4%, mirroring the consensus estimates set by analysts.
Revenue Breakdown by Segment
| Segment | Q3 2025 Revenue ($B) | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Small Agriculture & Turf | TBD | -6.5% |
| Production & Precision Ag | TBD | TBD |
| Construction & Forestry | TBD | TBD |
While specific figures for segment revenue in the latest quarter were not disclosed, Deere previously reported a net sales decline across its three primary segments during the second quarter. The Small Agriculture & Turf segment experienced the smallest decline at 6.5% year-over-year. Investors and analysts are keen to see if the Production & Precision Ag and Construction & Forestry segments show a recovery in the third quarter.
In-Depth Analysis of Segment Performance
Deere’s segments are heavily influenced by external factors, including tariffs and international trade dynamics. The Small Agriculture & Turf segment, which showed resilience with a relatively smaller decline, is crucial as it comprises products that cater to both residential and small commercial users. In contrast, the Production & Precision Agriculture and Construction & Forestry segments, which cater to large-scale operations and infrastructural projects, are likely more susceptible to economic downturns and trade-related challenges.
Key Developments and Operational Highlights
The third quarter has brought forth several strategic developments for Deere & Company. Notably, the company announced a $400 million tariff impact for the second half of the fiscal year, which, although significant, was perceived as manageable by market participants. Additionally, Deere's announcement to adjust its guidance has sparked varied reactions in the marketplace. Despite these challenges, Deere stock has seen a year-to-date increase of over 20%, albeit with most gains occurring in the first quarter.
Comments from Company Executives
Jay Woods, the Chief Global Strategist at Freedom Capital Markets, has noted that while Deere managed to beat expectations in terms of financial metrics, the company’s revised forecast has tempered optimism. He commented, “Tariff concerns remain a cloud over the stock, and softening demand remains an issue as we head into the next quarter’s reports.” His words underscore the cautious outlook as Deere continues to adapt to external pressures.
Dividends and Share Repurchases
As of this writing, detailed information regarding Deere & Company's dividend policy or any active share repurchase programs for this quarter has not been provided. The absence of such updates suggests that the company might be conserving cash amid economic uncertainties.
Deere & Co Stock Forecast
Based on a thorough analysis of the financial performance and ongoing developments, Deere & Company’s stock projections present a complex picture. Given the constraints of tariffs and the agricultural trade climate, the stock could see volatility. However, should the company successfully navigate these challenges with strategic pivots in segment offerings and effective cost management, there is potential for a rebound.
High and Low Stock Projections
-
High Projection: Should Deere overcome current headwinds, capitalize on recovery in its production and precision agriculture segment, and manage tariff impacts better than expected, its stock could rise to approximately $550 within the year.
-
Low Projection: Conversely, if the challenges persist without effective mitigation, particularly if market conditions worsen, the stock may face downward pressure, potentially dipping to around $450.
In conclusion, Deere & Co's earnings report captures the essence of a company in transition, diligently steering through a challenging macroeconomic landscape. With strategic agility and relentless focus on its core capabilities, Deere appears poised to weather the storm, albeit with necessary recalibrations along the way. Investors should keep a keen eye on tariff developments and how Deere’s strategic initiatives in segment performance unfold in the coming quarters.




