Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/31 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 84.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.81 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' based on strong production metrics, cost-cutting measures, and stable commodity prices.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Guyana Production Progress: Fact data highlights successful production startup at Yellowtail (Aug 2025) and the Hammerhead project’s finalized investment decision (Sept 2025), signaling strong upstream execution. These developments likely boosted Q3 production volumes, directly addressing the key concern around Guyana’s output targets.
Cost-Cutting Measures: Exxon’s restructuring plan (2,000 job cuts announced in Sept 2025) aims to reduce expenses by $150M annually, improving operational margins and EPS upside despite softer oil prices.
Mixed Commodity Price Impact: While WTI crude fell below $60 in October (after Q3 ended), average prices during Q3 likely remained stable (~$63 in early Sept), mitigating revenue headwinds. Production growth from Guyana and Permian Basin divestments (focusing on high-return assets) offsets weaker pricing.
Analyst Sentiment: UBS and Morgan Stanley highlight upstream strength and refining margins, while Piper Sandler notes modest disappointment relative to elevated expectations. Fact data leans toward execution-driven beats on production and cost discipline.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Near-Term Bullish Play: Buy short-dated calls (e.g., Nov 2025 $120 strike) to capitalize on potential upside from production beats and cost savings.
Hedging: Pair long stock with puts (e.g., Nov 2025 $110 strike) to mitigate oil price volatility risk.
Post-Earnings: Monitor Guyana’s operational updates and chemical segment performance for directional bias.
Rationale: Fact data supports a Beat due to Guyana’s execution and cost discipline, but oil price sensitivity and mixed analyst views warrant cautious optimism.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
XOM Transcript
The earnings call highlights strong production growth, technological advancements, and strategic acquisitions, suggesting a positive outlook. The Q&A reveals confidence in market strategies and financial health, though modest dividend growth and cautious inorganic activity may temper enthusiasm. Overall, the positive factors outweigh the negatives, indicating a likely stock price increase in the short term.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic project startups, and technological advancements. The Q&A section reveals confidence in growth, particularly in the Permian and Guyana, with emphasis on innovation and efficiency. While some concerns about cost guidance and unclear responses exist, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by shareholder returns, promising project pipelines, and strategic cost management. The lack of market cap data limits precise prediction, but the positive outlook suggests a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
XOM Slides
XOM Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Exxon Mobil Corp FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 31, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Exxon Mobil Corp FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 84.00B in revenue and an EPS of 2.00 for Exxon Mobil Corp's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Exxon Mobil Corp FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forExxon Mobil Corp's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 31, 2025. Exxon Mobil Corp The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' based on strong production metrics, cost-cutting measures, and stable commodity prices.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade XOM Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 31, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Exxon Mobil Corp FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
