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01/09 09:32
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Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 08/01 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 80.50B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.49 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
ExxonMobil's earnings are expected to miss consensus estimates due to lower oil and gas prices and weaker refining margins.
The Fact Data points to significant headwinds in core operational metrics:
Negative Oil/Gas Price Impact: Exxon's SEC filing (July 7) estimates Q2 losses of $ 1.2B–$ 0.8B from oil and $ 0.7B–$ 0.3B from gas due to declining prices. This directly impacts upstream profitability and revenue.
Downstream Weakness: Piper Sandler and RBC Capital highlight lower refining margins and energy product contributions, which are critical to Exxon’s earnings.
Divided Analyst Views: While some banks raised targets on cost discipline (e.g., TD Cowen’s $128 target), others like HSBC and RBC Capital cited oil price volatility and downstream challenges as risks.
Mixed Strategic Developments: Positive catalysts (Angola offshore contract, FTC’s Pioneer ruling) are long-term or marginal compared to immediate price/margin pressures.
Rationale: The market has partially priced in oil price weakness (XOM up 6.5% vs. S&P +13.2%), but downstream risks and subdued demand create asymmetric downside.
The earnings call highlights strong production growth, technological advancements, and strategic acquisitions, suggesting a positive outlook. The Q&A reveals confidence in market strategies and financial health, though modest dividend growth and cautious inorganic activity may temper enthusiasm. Overall, the positive factors outweigh the negatives, indicating a likely stock price increase in the short term.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic project startups, and technological advancements. The Q&A section reveals confidence in growth, particularly in the Permian and Guyana, with emphasis on innovation and efficiency. While some concerns about cost guidance and unclear responses exist, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by shareholder returns, promising project pipelines, and strategic cost management. The lack of market cap data limits precise prediction, but the positive outlook suggests a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onAug 1, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
Analysts' consensus predicts 80.50B in revenue and an EPS of 1.49 for Exxon Mobil Corp's FY2025Q2.
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Miss forExxon Mobil Corp's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Aug 1, 2025. Exxon Mobil Corp ExxonMobil's earnings are expected to miss consensus estimates due to lower oil and gas prices and weaker refining margins.
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theAug 1, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
Each prediction includes a detailed rationale, key indicator forecasts, and scenario probabilities to guide your trades. For a *Beat*, consider buying call options or shares; for a *Miss*, explore puts or hedging strategies. The prediction card provides actionable suggestions, like specific option strikes or hedging tips, tailored to your risk tolerance. Trade smart and turn insights into profits!
