Walmart Inc (WMT) FY2026Q3 Earning Prediction
Walmart Inc (WMT) is set to release its FY2026Q3 earnings performance on 11/20 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 175.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.61 for the FY2026Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a Beat scenario, driven by growth in e-commerce and advertising revenue, despite potential risks from SNAP reductions and membership challenges.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Fact Data Analysis vs. Consensus Expectations:
- E-Commerce Growth (Revenue Driver):
Positive Catalysts:
Partnership with OpenAI for ChatGPT-driven instant checkout enhances digital shopping efficiency.
Expanded next-day delivery in major U.S. cities and AI-driven seller tools improve fulfillment speed and customer retention.
Risks:
Walmart+ membership declined by 2.1M MoM (Morgan Stanley), though attributed to sampling variation.
- Advertising Revenue (High-Margin Growth):
RFID tech rollout with Avery Dennison for fresh categories improves inventory tracking, enabling better ad targeting.
AI-driven seller tools and OpenAI integration likely boost ad platform utilization.
- Operating Income Efficiency:
Automation initiatives (sensors for pallet tracking, RFID, Ranpak partnership) reduce fulfillment costs.
Wage hikes for hourly workers and tariff uncertainty (reduced grocery tariffs vs. potential furniture tariffs) create margin pressure.
- SNAP Benefit Headwinds (Revenue Risk):
- 20% SNAP reduction and delayed payments (Wolfe Research) disproportionately affect lower-income shoppers, a key Walmart demographic.
- Membership Income Stability:
- Walmart+ adds Peacock/Paramount+ streaming benefits to offset membership churn risks.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Directional Play:
- Bullish: Buy November $105 calls. A "Beat" scenario likely lifts shares toward $105–$107.
- Hedge: Pair with December $95 puts to hedge against SNAP/consumer weakness.
- Theta Play:
- Sell November $100/$105 strangles (IV crush post-earnings).
- Relative Value:
- Long WMT vs. Short TGT (Walmart’s price leadership and SNAP exposure less severe than Target’s discretionary mix).
Rationale: Consensus expectations are modest (EPS estimate revised +0.3%), but operational efficiency and ad/e-commerce momentum position WMT for a Beat. SNAP risks are priced in given recent underperformance vs. SPX (+5.7% vs. +4.4%).
- Long WMT vs. Short TGT (Walmart’s price leadership and SNAP exposure less severe than Target’s discretionary mix).
Earnings Surprise Analysis
WMT Transcript
Walmart's earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with raised sales growth guidance, strong e-commerce and membership growth, and AI investments. The Q&A highlighted optimism for the holiday season and effective cost management. Although some uncertainties exist, such as the impact of fair pricing legislation, the overall outlook is positive, driven by strategic initiatives and market confidence.
WMT Slides
WMT Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Walmart Inc FY2026Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Walmart Inc (WMT) is scheduled to release its FY2026Q3 earnings report onNov 20, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Walmart Inc FY2026Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 175.00B in revenue and an EPS of 1.00 for Walmart Inc's FY2026Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Walmart Inc FY2026Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forWalmart Inc's FY2026Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 20, 2025. Walmart Inc The earnings forecast predicts a Beat scenario, driven by growth in e-commerce and advertising revenue, despite potential risks from SNAP reductions and membership challenges.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade WMT Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 20, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Walmart Inc FY2026Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
