Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 02/17 07:00:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.94B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.13 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast suggests a neutral outlook due to balanced potential for operational growth and pricing risks.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
High Market Expectations Already Priced In: The stock has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 (+ 11.3% vs. + 0.87%) over the past quarter, indicating elevated expectations. Fact data suggests mixed signals, with analysts split on near-term upside.
Positive Catalysts (Beat Scenarios):
Infrastructure & Data Center Demand: B. Riley highlights Vulcan’s critical role in supplying materials for infrastructure, data centers, and power projects—sectors with accelerating demand. This could drive higher-than-expected aggregate shipments.
Operational Efficiency: Stifel and DA Davidson note strong Q3 execution (lower unit costs, favorable price-to-cost dynamics), which may sustain EBITDA and free cash flow growth.
Negative Risks (Miss Scenarios):
Pricing Pressure: DA Davidson warns of narrowing price realization potential, while Citi and BofA emphasize reliance on infrastructure over residential markets. Pricing strategies may face headwinds if market dynamics shift.
Downgraded Sentiment: DA Davidson’s downgrade to Neutral reflects concerns about valuation and moderating infrastructure bid activity, suggesting risks to revenue growth.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Options Play: Buy straddle (long ATM calls and puts) ahead of earnings. High implied volatility (stock up 11% in 3 months) and mixed analyst signals suggest asymmetric risk.
- Stock Play: Trim positions pre-earnings; re-enter on pullbacks if Neutral/Miss reaction validates valuation concerns.
- Key Watch: Post-earnings guidance on infrastructure/data center backlog and pricing strategies.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
VMC Transcript
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with record high revenue, improved pricing, and increased free cash flow. The Q&A reveals optimism about future demand and pricing, with confidence in cost control and efficiency. Despite some uncertainties, the guidance is optimistic, with anticipated growth in public and private construction activity. The overall sentiment leans positive, reflecting potential for stock price appreciation.
The earnings call summary and Q&A suggest a positive outlook. The company reports strong growth in data centers, public infrastructure, and highway contracts, supported by IIJA funding. Despite challenges in single-family construction, private non-residential demand shows recovery, and adjusted EBITDA guidance is reaffirmed. Analysts' concerns about pricing and costs are mitigated by operational efficiencies and strategic focus on aggregate-led growth. Overall, the sentiment leans positive, with expectations for continued growth supported by strategic initiatives and market demand.
The earnings call highlights strong demand and visibility for future work, supported by increased contract awards and funding. Despite weather-related delays, the company expects recovery in shipments and positive second-half outlooks, with strong pricing momentum. The Q&A section indicates a positive analyst sentiment, with confidence in future growth driven by infrastructure projects and non-residential sectors. The company's strategic acquisitions and operational execution are contributing to performance, and the positive outlook for free cash flow supports shareholder returns and M&A activities.
The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong financial performance, including a 27% YoY improvement in adjusted EBITDA and a significant increase in EPS. The company is executing a robust growth strategy with successful acquisitions and operational efficiencies. Despite macroeconomic challenges, Vulcan maintains healthy public sector growth and cost control. The Q&A section reveals optimism in pricing and organic volume growth, although some responses lack clarity. Overall, the strong financial metrics, shareholder returns, and optimistic guidance indicate a likely positive stock price movement.
VMC Slides
VMC Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Vulcan Materials Co FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Vulcan Materials Co (VMC) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report on Feb 17, 2026, Pre-Market (approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Vulcan Materials Co FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 1.94B in revenue and an EPS of 2.13 for Vulcan Materials Co's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Vulcan Materials Co FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral for Vulcan Materials Co's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 17, 2026. Vulcan Materials Co The earnings forecast suggests a neutral outlook due to balanced potential for operational growth and pricing risks.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade VMC Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of the Feb 17, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Vulcan Materials Co FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company's earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They're updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
