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01/09 11:10
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United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/28 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 20.84B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.31 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
The earnings forecast suggests a likely 'Miss' due to revenue challenges across core segments and headwinds from macroeconomic and industry-specific factors.
The Fact Data highlights significant headwinds across UPS’s core segments, which are unlikely to offset market expectations already pricing in cautious optimism:
While cost discipline (facility closures, driver buyouts) may cushion EPS, revenue weakness across key segments tilts the balance toward a Miss.
Short Stock: Hedge against downside risk given high probability of Miss/Strong Miss.
Buy Put Options (Oct 28 Expiry): Target strikes near $85 for leveraged downside exposure.
Avoid Long Calls: Limited upside catalysts; EPS neutrality reduces volatility potential.
Monitor Post-Earnings: If cost discipline impresses, consider covered calls on relief rallies.
The earnings call highlights several concerns: refusal to provide guidance, decline in Amazon volume, and operational challenges. Despite some positive elements like international revenue growth and cost efficiency improvements, the lack of guidance and significant restructuring efforts suggest market uncertainty. The Q&A reveals analysts' concerns about margins, cost alignment, and unclear management responses, further supporting a negative sentiment. The absence of a market cap prevents a precise prediction, but the overall sentiment is negative.
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive developments like increased digital revenue and healthcare logistics growth, there are concerns about declining revenues in some segments and lack of full-year guidance due to market uncertainties. The Q&A reveals unresolved issues with Amazon glide-down and Ground Saver delivery density, which may affect margins. With no clear guidance and ongoing uncertainties, the stock price is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive aspects like increased dividends and share repurchases, cost reduction targets, and a slight increase in operating profit and EPS, there are notable concerns. These include a decline in total revenue, volume decreases, and international operating profit drop. The Q&A highlighted uncertainties, particularly around tariffs and Amazon volume decline, which management was vague about. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable, leading to a neutral prediction for the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive elements like increased operating profit and dividends, concerns such as regulatory issues, supply chain challenges, and operational risks persist. The Q&A reveals uncertainties, especially regarding cost savings and tariff impacts. The financial performance is decent but not stellar, with a slight decline in revenue and mixed volume trends. Share repurchases and dividends are positive, but the lack of clear guidance and ongoing challenges maintain a neutral outlook.
United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 28, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
Analysts' consensus predicts 20.84B in revenue and an EPS of 1.31 for United Parcel Service Inc's FY2025Q3.
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Miss forUnited Parcel Service Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 28, 2025. United Parcel Service Inc The earnings forecast suggests a likely 'Miss' due to revenue challenges across core segments and headwinds from macroeconomic and industry-specific factors.
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 28, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
Each prediction includes a detailed rationale, key indicator forecasts, and scenario probabilities to guide your trades. For a *Beat*, consider buying call options or shares; for a *Miss*, explore puts or hedging strategies. The prediction card provides actionable suggestions, like specific option strikes or hedging tips, tailored to your risk tolerance. Trade smart and turn insights into profits!
