Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/28 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 6.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 3.46 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
Sherwin-Williams is expected to deliver results that align closely with consensus estimates, reflecting a balance of macroeconomic challenges and operational resilience.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Key Fact Data Analysis:
- Macro Headwinds vs. Share Gains:
Analysts consistently highlight a "challenging macro environment" (Citi, BofA, Jefferies) with weak industrial demand and inconsistent end markets.
Offsetting this, Sherwin-Williams is actively pursuing market share gains through simplification, digitization, and operational focus (Evercore ISI). This suggests resilience in Paint Stores Group sales, but insufficient to drive a meaningful revenue beat.
- Margin Pressures:
- Commodity business slippage (BofA) and volume softness create headwinds for gross margin expansion. However, Sherwin’s track record of 12 consecutive quarters of margin expansion and cost discipline (Wells Fargo) likely prevents a miss.
- EPS Risks from Non-Operational Costs:
- Higher restructuring costs and new building expenses (cited in prior earnings) remain unresolved in recent Fact Data. Jefferies’ warning about consensus EPS drifting lower aligns with this risk.
- Neutral Sentiment Shift:
- BofA’s upgrade to Neutral reflects reduced downside risk but no catalyst for outperformance. Mixed analyst views (2 Neutral, 1 Overweight, 1 Hold) signal uncertainty.
No Fact Data provides clear evidence of a material deviation from consensus expectations. Macro challenges counterbalance Sherwin’s operational discipline, leading to a Neutral outlook.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Neutral/Bearish Hedge:
- Short-Dated Put Spreads: Buy Oct 28 $330 puts / sell $310 puts to hedge against EPS miss risk.
- Theta Harvesting: Sell covered calls near $350 (resistance level from analyst price targets) if holding shares.
- Avoid Long-Dated Options: Lack of clear catalysts makes directional bets risky; focus on volatility compression post-earnings.
Rationale: Consensus expectations are low but not low enough to justify a contrarian bullish play given macro risks. Asymmetric downside from EPS miss warrants defensive positioning.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
SHW Transcript
The earnings call indicates mixed signals: slight growth in key segments and disciplined cost management, but challenges in DIY demand and uncertain 2026 outlook. The Q&A highlights confidence in margin guidance and strategic market share focus but also notes competitive pressures and weather impacts. The lack of clarity on the mega merger's impact adds uncertainty. Overall, the balanced positives and negatives suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts for significant short-term stock price movement.
The earnings call highlights several negative factors: reduced earnings guidance, sales expectations, and capital expenditures, alongside supply chain inefficiencies and softer sales volumes. The Q&A reveals pessimism about market recovery and limited organic growth in key segments. Despite potential synergies from the Suvinil acquisition, the overall sentiment is negative due to reduced guidance, restructuring costs, and a lack of clear recovery catalysts.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture: solid financial performance, strategic growth investments, and shareholder return initiatives are positive. However, the reaffirmation of guidance, choppy market demand, and volume weakness into 2026 are concerns. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence in market share gains and cost control but also notes challenges like margin decline and supply chain inefficiencies. Overall, the sentiment is neutral as positive factors are balanced by uncertainties and potential risks.
The earnings call presented mixed signals. Financial performance shows slight improvements, with EPS and some margin expansions. However, sales performance in key segments is weak, and there are concerns about market demand and supply chain challenges. The dividend increase is positive, but guidance remains cautious, with expectations of a choppy market. The Q&A highlighted management's uncertainty about tariffs and raw material costs, which could weigh on investor sentiment. Overall, the balance of positive and negative factors suggests a neutral stock price movement.
SHW Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 28, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 6.00B in revenue and an EPS of 3.00 for Sherwin-Williams Co's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forSherwin-Williams Co's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 28, 2025. Sherwin-Williams Co Sherwin-Williams is expected to deliver results that align closely with consensus estimates, reflecting a balance of macroeconomic challenges and operational resilience.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade SHW Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 28, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Sherwin-Williams Co FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
