Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) FY2025Q2 Earning Prediction

07/22 04:00:00

Pre-Market

Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/22 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 10.09B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 6.71 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

10.09B

10.35B

+2.56%

EPSBEAT

6.71

7.11

+5.96%

Slide

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q2

Earnings Date: Jul 22, 2025

The earnings forecast indicates a likely Beat scenario due to increased defense budgets and contract growth, though challenges in margin recovery persist.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

2 beats3 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

25%

+5-7%

B-21 margin recovery + accelerated international sales.

Beat

50%

+2-4%

Revenue beats on backlog growth + cash flow stabilization.

Neutral

15%

Flat

Mixed margin performance + no clear cash flow improvement.

Miss

-3-5%

F/A-XX cancellation impacts bookings + B-21 charges worsen.

Strong Miss

-8-10%

Major liquidity strain + defense budget cuts materialize.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

Defense budget increases (+13% YoY) and NATO spending commitments support revenue growth. Recent contracts (e.g., $188.58M Triton logistics) and missile defense programs (Golden Dome) add to backlog.

EPS

Neutral

B-21 program charges likely persist, offsetting margin gains from operational efficiencies (e.g., rocket motor tests). Dividend hike signals cash flow improvement but lacks clarity on sustainability.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Fact data suggests positive momentum in defense budget allocations and contract wins that likely boosted backlog and international sales, though margin recovery remains uncertain due to ongoing B-21 adjustments.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

1. Directional Play (Stock):

Long NOC shares ahead of earnings, targeting a 3-5% upside on a Beat scenario. Defense budget tailwinds and NATO spending commitments are underappreciated.

2. Options Strategy:

Bull Put Spread: Sell $490 put / Buy $470 put (expiring August 2025). Capitalizes on bullish momentum with limited downside.
Debit Call Spread: Buy $510 call / Sell $530 call. Leverages upside potential while reducing premium costs.

Key Risks:

B-21 program volatility and F/A-XX cancellation lingering concerns. Monitor pre-earning updates on margin guidance.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

NOC Transcript

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Presents at Baird 55th Annual Global Industrial Conference Transcript

Neutral11-12

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive10-21

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong revenue growth, solid international sales, and promising program developments like B-21 and Golden Dome. Despite some unclear management responses, the overall sentiment is positive due to increased free cash flow guidance, robust defense investments, and capacity expansion plans. These factors, along with optimistic guidance and strong financial metrics, suggest a potential positive stock price movement.

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Presents At Morgan Stanley's 13th Annual Laguna Conference (Transcript)

Neutral9-11

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive7-22

The earnings call summary indicates strong international sales growth, a record backlog, successful program milestones, and positive guidance, despite some challenges like the B-21 loss. The Q&A section provides further optimism with progress on key programs and strategic partnerships. The overall sentiment is positive, with anticipated growth in various sectors and reaffirmed financial guidance, suggesting a likely stock price increase.

NOC Slides

Northrop Grumman Q2 2025 slides: Sequential growth accelerates as guidance raised

2025-07-22

NOC Report

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/ 10-K

10-K

2025-01-30

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/ 10-Q

10-Q

2024-07-25

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/ 10-Q

10-Q

2024-04-25

NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP /DE/ 10-K

10-K

2024-01-25

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Northrop Grumman Corp FY2025Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 22, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Northrop Grumman Corp FY2025Q2 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 10.09B in revenue and an EPS of 6.71 for Northrop Grumman Corp's FY2025Q2.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Northrop Grumman Corp FY2025Q2 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forNorthrop Grumman Corp's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 22, 2025. Northrop Grumman Corp The earnings forecast indicates a likely Beat scenario due to increased defense budgets and contract growth, though challenges in margin recovery persist.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade NOC Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 22, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Northrop Grumman Corp FY2025Q2?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!