Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) Earning Prediction
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is set to release its earnings performance on 01/28 05:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 2.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.55 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
MTH Transcript
The earnings call summary shows mixed signals. The company has strong community count growth and a positive long-term margin target, but the near-term guidance is flattish with some headwinds like higher interest rates and regional challenges. The Q&A reveals management's conservative approach and uncertainties, such as unclear margin impact and reliance on incentives. Despite potential tailwinds, the lack of clear guidance and the cautious stance on share repurchases suggest a neutral outlook, indicating a potential stock price movement within the range of -2% to 2%.
The earnings call summary reveals strong community count growth and strategic inventory management, with a focus on shareholder returns through increased buybacks and dividends. Although margins are slightly declining, management's optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives indicate a positive outlook. The Q&A section supports this with plans for cost optimization and market share gains. Despite some uncertainties, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8% in the coming weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are positive indicators such as an increase in community count and lower cancellation rates, there are concerns about declining ASP and gross margins due to financing incentives. The Q&A section reveals management's cautious stance due to market uncertainties, with pulled full-year guidance and no specific Q4 margin guidance. The increase in stock buybacks is a positive factor, but the lack of clarity on future performance tempers enthusiasm. Overall, these factors suggest a neutral sentiment, with no strong catalysts for significant stock price movement.
The earnings call reveals several concerns: a significant decrease in home closing revenue and EPS, declining gross margins, and increased SG&A as a percentage of revenue. Despite a 15% dividend increase and share buybacks, market uncertainties, tariff risks, and deteriorating consumer sentiment pose challenges. The Q&A section highlights management's uncertainty about pricing power and incentive levels, further contributing to a negative outlook. Overall, the financial performance and market conditions suggest a negative impact on the stock price in the short term.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Meritage Homes Corp Earnings Release Date and Time?
Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) is scheduled to release its earnings report onJan 28, 2026, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Meritage Homes Corp Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 2.00B in revenue and an EPS of 2.00 for Meritage Homes Corp's .
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Meritage Homes Corp Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a forMeritage Homes Corp's earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 28, 2026. Meritage Homes Corp
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade MTH Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 28, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Meritage Homes Corp ?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
